Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wrexham
Leicester
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +30 | +22.5 | 58 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +23 | +22.2 | 50 |
| 3 |
Millwall
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | -1 | +1.4 | 46 |
| 4 |
Hull
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +7 | -13.5 | 44 |
| 5 |
Preston
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | -4.9 | 43 |
| 6 |
Middlesbrough
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | +5 | +6.7 | 42 |
| 7 |
Stoke
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +9 | -3.7 | 41 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +6 | +6.3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Derby
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +2 | -4.4 | 41 |
| 10 |
Bristol City
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +7 | -0.6 | 40 |
| 11 |
Wrexham
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | +5 | -4.9 | 40 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | -1 | +1.2 | 40 |
| 13 |
Birmingham
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +1 | +11.9 | 38 |
| 14 |
Leicester
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -2 | -9.8 | 37 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | -7.7 | 36 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +3 | +11.8 | 32 |
| 17 |
Sheffield United
|
26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | -3 | +11.9 | 32 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | -9.3 | 32 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | -12 | +5.4 | 31 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -5 | -9.9 | 30 |
| 21 |
Blackburn
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -11 | +5.2 | 28 |
| 22 |
Portsmouth
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -13 | -6.4 | 28 |
| 23 |
Oxford
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -10 | -6.2 | 24 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Weds
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -36 | -25.2 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Okonkwo
G
M. Cleworth
D
D. Hyam
D
C. Doyle
D
R. Longman
M
M. James
M
B. Sheaf
M
O. Rathbone
F
L. O'Brien
F
K. Moore
F
Coach: Phil Parkinson
H. Choudhury
D
J. James
M
O. Skipp
M
I. Fatawu
F
J. Ayew
F
S. Mavididi
F
Coach: Marti Cifuentes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wrexham
Norwich
Wrexham
Nott'm Forest
Derby
Wrexham
Blackburn
Wrexham
Wrexham
Preston
Matt Donohue · 17 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.