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Champions League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Kairat Almaty
T U U T T
0–0
Full-time
Pafos
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
30%
25%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 1,76
69% Possession 31%
22 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Kairat Almaty Pafos
4′
🟥 João Correia
Dastan Satpaev 🟨
21′
Ofri Arad 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
A. Tuyakbaev 🔁
↦ E. Tapalov
46′
G. Zaria 🔁
↦ D. Glazer
61′
66′
🔁 D. Goldar
↦ K. Pileas
66′
🔁 M. Bassouamina
↦ D. Quina
74′
ℹ️ Temirlan Anarbekov
VAR: Goal cancelled
79′
🟨 Ivan Šunjić
79′
🔁 L. Dimata
↦ Pepe
79′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ M. Orsic
Azamat Tuyakbayev 🟨
82′
D. Kasabulat 🔁
↦ V. Gromyko
89′
90′
🔁 B. Langa
↦ Bruno
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ O. Arad
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
77 T. Anarbekov G
20 E. Tapalov D
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
18 D. Glazer M
15 O. Arad M
24 A. Mrynskiy M
7 Jorginho M
55 V. Gromyko M
9 D. Satpaev F
Bench (11)
1 A. Zarutskiy
82 S. Kalmurza
4 D. Kasabulat
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
17 O. Baybek
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
87 A. Tuyakbaev
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
4 David Luiz D
2 K. Pileas D
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
77 J. Correia M
8 D. Quina M
17 M. Orsic M
30 V. Dragomir F
Bench (9)
1 J. Gorter
82 P. Petrou
5 D. Goldar
9 M. Bassouamina
10 L. Dimata
11 Jaja
12 K. Sema
25 B. Langa
33 Anderson Silva

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.