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Champions League
Referee: S Jablonski
Bodo/Glimt
S S T S U
3–1
Full-time
Man City
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 40%
13%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
88%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,60 xG 1,23
34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
6 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Man City
1–0 K. Hogh
O. Blomberg
22′
2–0 K. Hogh
O. Blomberg
24′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. Hauge
S. Fet
58′
60′
R. Cherki 3–1
N. O'Reilly
61′
🟨 Rodri
62′
🟨 Rodri
62′
🟥 Rodri
70′
🔁 O. Marmoush
↦ P. Foden
S. Auklend 🔁
↦ O. Blomberg
76′
U. Saltnes 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
76′
A. Helmersen 🔁
↦ K. Hogh
76′
I. Maatta 🔁
↦ S. Fet
82′
93′
🟨 Rayan Cherki
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-4-2
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
10 J. Hauge M
11 O. Blomberg F
9 K. Hogh F
Bench (11)
1 J. Lund
45 I. Sjong
2 V. Nielsen
5 H. Aleesami
8 S. Auklend
14 U. Saltnes
21 A. Helmersen
22 A. Klynge
23 M. Riisnaes
25 I. Maatta
31 H. Chooly

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Man City

4-3-3
25 G. Donnarumma G
21 R. Ait-Nouri D
45 A. Khusanov D
68 M. Alleyne D
33 N. O'Reilly D
82 R. Lewis M
16 Rodri M
4 T. Reijnders M
10 R. Cherki F
9 E. Haaland F
47 P. Foden F
Bench (10)
1 J. Trafford
13 M. Bettinelli
6 N. Ake
7 O. Marmoush
11 J. Doku
59 C. Gray
63 D. Mukasa
90 K. Noble
91 S. Mfuni
97 T. Samba

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.