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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
Inter
S S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Arsenal
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,36 xG 2,14
51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -24 Inter – Arsenal 1–0

Match report

Inter Arsenal
10′
⚽ Gabriel Jesus 0–1
J. Timber
1–1 P. Sucic ⚽
18′
31′
⚽ Gabriel Jesus 1–2
L. Trossard
Half-time 1–2
D. Frattesi 🔁
↦ N. Barella
63′
F. Esposito 🔁
↦ L. Martinez
63′
64′
🔁 B. White
↦ J. Timber
64′
🔁 D. Rice
↦ E. Eze
Alessandro Bastoni 🟨
72′
73′
🟨 Mikel Merino
75′
🔁 Gabriel
↦ C. Mosquera
75′
🔁 V. Gyökeres
↦ Gabriel Jesus
79′
🔁 G. Martinelli
↦ L. Trossard
Francesco Acerbi 🟨
82′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ Luis Henrique
82′
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ P. Zielinski
82′
84′
⚽ V. Gyokeres 1–3
B. Saka
92′
🟨 Declan Rice
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
25 M. Akanji D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
11 Luis Henrique M
23 N. Barella M
7 P. Zielinski M
8 P. Sucic M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (12)
13 J. Martinez
40 A. Calligaris
6 S. de Vrij
14 A. Bonny
16 D. Frattesi
17 A. Diouf
22 H. Mkhitaryan
30 Carlos Augusto
31 Y. Bisseck
36 M. Darmian
43 M. Cocchi
94 F. Esposito

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 D. Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
3 C. Mosquera D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
23 M. Merino M
36 M. Zubimendi M
10 E. Eze M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (12)
35 T. Setford
13 K. Arrizabalaga
4 B. White
6 Gabriel
8 M. Odegaard
11 G. Martinelli
14 V. Gyökeres
16 C. Norgaard
20 N. Madueke
22 E. Nwaneri
29 K. Havertz
41 D. Rice

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.