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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T T S T
2–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
4,8
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
3,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
88%
50%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
2,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

2,66 xG 0,83
57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 1

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda PSV Eindhoven
17′
⚽ L. de Jong 0–1
J. Veerman
23′
⚽ L. de Jong 0–2
J. Veerman
43′
⚽ R. Flamingo 0–3
G. Til
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟥 Ryan Flamingo
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
71′
A. Maksimović 🔁
↦ Seol Young-Woo
71′
1–3 C. Ndiaye ⚽
N. Djiga
71′
74′
🔁 W. Kuhn
↦ N. Lang
77′
🔁 R. Karsdorp
↦ R. Ledezma
2–3 N. Djiga ⚽
M. Ivanić
77′
Milson 🔁
↦ N. Radonjić
84′
86′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ G. Til
86′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ J. Bakayoko
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
18 O. Glazer G
70 O. Mimović D
24 N. Djiga D
5 U. Spajić D
66 Seol Young-Woo D
6 R. Krunić M
21 T. Elšnik M
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
4 M. Ivanić M
49 N. Radonjić M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
17 Bruno Duarte
55 A. Maksimović
27 Milson
22 Dálcio
44 V. Milosavljević
32 L. Ilić
8 G. Kanga
33 V. Drkušić
77 I. Guteša
7 J. Šljivić
10 A. Katai
23 M. Rodić

Coach: V. Milojević

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
37 R. Ledezma D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
17 Mauro Júnior D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko M
20 G. Til M
10 N. Lang M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (10)
36 W. Kuhn
2 R. Karsdorp
4 A. Obispo
14 R. Pepi
21 C. Driouech
24 N. Schiks
16 J. Drommel
26 I. Babadi
28 T. Land
47 T. Abed

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.