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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Inter
S U U T S
4–0
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,0
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,79 xG 0,52
52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0 H. Çalhanoğlu ⚽
11′
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 🟨
15′
Half-time 1–0
Stefan de Vrij 🟨
48′
2–0 M. Arnautović ⚽
M. Taremi
59′
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Arnautović
64′
D. Frattesi 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
64′
F. Acerbi 🔁
↦ S. de Vrij
64′
69′
🟨 Timi Max Elšnik
69′
🔁 L. Ilić
↦ C. Ndiaye
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
70′
70′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ A. Maksimović
70′
🔁 Bruno Duarte
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
3–0 Lautaro Martínez ⚽
M. Taremi
71′
Y. Bisseck 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
74′
4–0 M. Taremi ⚽
81′
89′
🔁 Dálcio
↦ R. Krunić
89′
🔁 M. Rodić
↦ V. Drkušić
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
7 P. Zieliński M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
30 Carlos Augusto M
99 M. Taremi F
8 M. Arnautović F
Bench (10)
10 Lautaro Martínez
16 D. Frattesi
15 F. Acerbi
21 K. Asllani
31 Y. Bisseck
13 Josep Martínez
12 R. Di Gennaro
9 M. Thuram
32 F. Dimarco
36 M. Darmian

Coach: S. Inzaghi

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
18 O. Glazer G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
33 V. Drkušić D
5 U. Spajić D
24 N. Djiga D
6 R. Krunić M
21 T. Elšnik M
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
55 A. Maksimović M
14 P. Olayinka M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
32 L. Ilić
49 N. Radonjić
17 Bruno Duarte
22 Dálcio
23 M. Rodić
73 E. Prutsev
1 M. Ilić
77 I. Guteša
8 G. Kanga
27 Milson
10 A. Katai
25 S. Leković

Coach: V. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.