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Champions League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Bologna
S T U U S
2–1
Full-time
Dortmund
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
4,5
Scored
0,2
3,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,02 xG 0,99
53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
7 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bologna Dortmund
Emil Holm 🟨
14′
15′
⚽ S. Guirassy 0–1
Remo Freuler 🟨
19′
S. Iling-Junior 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
35′
Half-time 0–1
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ R. Freuler
46′
Jhon Lucumí 🟨
60′
62′
🟨 Maximilian Beier
N. Casale 🔁
↦ J. Lucumí
63′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
63′
64′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ J. Duranville
64′
🔁 E. Can
↦ G. Reyna
1–1 T. Dallinga ⚽
J. Odgaard
71′
2–1 S. Iling-Junior ⚽
72′
75′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ P. Groß
75′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ S. Guirassy
81′
🟨 Karim Adeyemi
82′
🟨 Yan Couto
N. Moro 🔁
↦ T. Pobega
87′
89′
🟨 Julian Ryerson
Lewis Ferguson 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
2 E. Holm D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
8 R. Freuler M
18 T. Pobega M
7 R. Orsolini M
19 L. Ferguson M
11 D. Ndoye M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (12)
14 S. Iling-Junior
21 J. Odgaard
15 N. Casale
24 T. Dallinga
6 N. Moro
82 K. Urbański
3 S. Posch
34 F. Ravaglia
5 M. Erlić
23 N. Bagnolini
80 G. Fabbian
33 Juan Miranda

Coach: V. Italiano

Dortmund

4-3-3
1 G. Kobel G
13 P. Groß D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson D
14 M. Beier M
8 F. Nmecha M
7 G. Reyna M
16 J. Duranville F
9 S. Guirassy F
43 J. Gittens F
Bench (12)
27 K. Adeyemi
23 E. Can
2 Yan Couto
10 J. Brandt
35 M. Lotka
38 K. Wätjen
33 A. Meyer
42 A. Kabar
37 C. Campbell
39 F. Mané
20 M. Sabitzer
46 A. Azhil

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.