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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
FK Crvena Zvezda
T S T T T
2–5
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,5
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+3,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,6
4,3
Scored
1,0
3,3
Conceded
2,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,31 xG 3,55
30% Possession 70%
4 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
9 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Barcelona
13′
⚽ Iñigo Martínez 0–1
Raphinha
1–1 S. Katompa Mvumpa ⚽
R. Krunić
27′
43′
⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–2
Half-time 1–3
53′
⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–3
J. Koundé
55′
⚽ Raphinha 1–4
J. Koundé
58′
🔁 Fermín López
↦ Raphinha
58′
🔁 Dani Olmo
↦ Pedri
Milson 🔁
↦ M. Rodić
59′
Cherif Ndiaye 🟨
61′
Uroš Spajić 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 Sergi Domínguez
↦ Pau Cubarsí
68′
🔁 Gavi
↦ F. de Jong
L. Ilić 🔁
↦ A. Maksimović
72′
Dálcio 🔁
↦ G. Kanga
72′
76′
⚽ Fermín López 1–5
J. Koundé
78′
🔁 Pau Víctor
↦ R. Lewandowski
A. Katai 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
82′
E. Prutsev 🔁
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
83′
2–5 Milson ⚽
Seol Young-Woo
84′
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-5-1
1 M. Ilić G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
24 N. Djiga D
5 U. Spajić D
23 M. Rodić D
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
6 R. Krunić M
8 G. Kanga M
21 T. Elšnik M
55 A. Maksimović M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (9)
27 Milson
32 L. Ilić
22 Dálcio
10 A. Katai
73 E. Prutsev
25 S. Leković
28 V. Draškić
33 V. Drkušić
77 I. Guteša

Coach: V. Milojević

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Iñaki Peña G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
35 Gerard Martín D
21 F. de Jong M
17 Marc Casadó M
19 Lamine Yamal M
8 Pedri M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
16 Fermín López
20 Dani Olmo
36 Sergi Domínguez
6 Gavi
18 Pau Víctor
25 W. Szczęsny
10 Ansu Fati
14 Pablo Torre
3 Alejandro Balde
26 Ander Astralaga
32 Héctor Fort

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.