Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valerenga
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +21 | 36 |
| 2 |
Odd
|
15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |
Stromsgodset
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Brann
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 26 |
| 6 |
Haugesund
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |
Molde
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 24 |
| 8 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sogndal
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Lillestrom
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tromso
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 17 |
| 12 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Stabaek
|
15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Valerenga
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |
Start
|
15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -21 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sandberg
G
G. Zahid
M
S. Berge
M
Coach: K. Rekdal
M. Dyngeland
G
B. Utvik
D
Coach: E. Bakke
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brann
Valerenga
Valerenga
Odd
Aalesund
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
Valerenga
Haugesund
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.