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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Boavista
T S T U S
3–2
Full-time
Benfica
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,99 xG 2,09
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +5 +0.6 3
2 Casa Pia 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.5 3
3 Rio Ave 1 1 0 0 +2 +3.0 3
4 Arouca 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
5 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
6 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
7 Porto 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
8 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
9 Estoril 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
10 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
11 Sp Braga 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
12 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
13 Estrela 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
14 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -2 -3.0 0
15 Farense 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.5 0
16 Portimonense 1 0 0 1 -5 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -23 Benfica – Boavista 3–1 27. Aug -22 Boavista – Benfica 0–3 18. Feb -22 Boavista – Benfica 2–2 20. Sep -21 Benfica – Boavista 3–1 13. Mar -21 Benfica – Boavista 2–0

Match report

Boavista Benfica
-5′
🟨 Ángel Di María
Miguel Reisinho 🟨
1′
Gaius Makouta 🟨
11′
Sebastián Pérez 🟨
14′
22′
⚽ Á. Di María 0–1
Rafa
Half-time 0–1
Bruno Lourenço 🔁
↦ Miguel Reisinho
46′
50′
🟥 Petar Musa
54′
🔁 Morato
↦ Á. Di María
1–1 R. Boženík ⚽
55′
I. Vukotić 🔁
↦ G. Makouta
63′
Filipe Ferreira 🔁
↦ R. Abascal
63′
65′
🟨 Rafa Silva
Bruno Onyemaechi 🟨
67′
75′
⚽ Rafa 1–2
J. De Santis 🔁
↦ Salvador Agra
80′
Berna 🔁
↦ Tiago Morais
80′
82′
🟨 Alexander Bah
84′
🔁 Florentino
↦ João Neves
85′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Rafa
85′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ O. Kökçü
88′
🟨 António Silva
2–2 Bruno Lourenço ⚽
90′
93′
🔁 M. Ristić
↦ D. Jurásek
Berna 🟨
98′
Bruno Lourenço 🟥
101′
Bruno Lourenço ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
101′
3–2 R. Boženík 3 ⚽
J. De Santis
103′
Róbert Boženík 🟨
105′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
99 João Gonçalves G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
5 C. Awaziem D
26 R. Abascal D
70 B. Onyemaechi D
24 S. Pérez M
10 Miguel Reisinho M
7 Salvador Agra M
42 G. Makouta M
21 Tiago Morais M
9 R. Boženík F
Bench (9)
8 Bruno Lourenço
18 I. Vukotić
20 Filipe Ferreira
27 J. De Santis
80 Berna
6 I. Camará
12 Luís Pires
59 Martim Tavares
13 Masa

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
13 D. Jurásek D
87 João Neves M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
33 P. Musa F
Bench (9)
5 Morato
61 Florentino
7 David Neres
22 Chiquinho
23 M. Ristić
38 João Victor
24 Samuel Soares
19 C. Tengstedt
20 João Mário

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
9,89
🔒
U
5,54
🔒
B
1,29
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,33
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.