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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Stromsgodset

T S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 5. · Lillestrom 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Odd	8	5	2	1	+6	17
3	Molde	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Viking	9	5	1	3	+0	16
5	Stromsgodset	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Brann	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Lillestrom	8	3	4	1	+6	13
8	Haugesund	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	3	2	+4	12
10	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-10	9
11	Sogndal	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	+0	7
13	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Valerenga	8	2	0	6	-6	6
15	Stabaek	8	1	1	6	-7	4
16	Start	8	0	4	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Molde	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Stromsgodset	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Haugesund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Odd	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sogndal	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Viking	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	+5	6
12	Valerenga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	0	3	+0	6
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+3	5
15	Stabaek	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Start	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Viking	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Brann	5	2	1	2	-2	7
6	Molde	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Lillestrom	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Tromso	5	0	2	3	-12	2
11	Bodo/Glimt	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Stabaek	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	Aalesund	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Sogndal	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Start	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Valerenga	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.