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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

Nice

T S U S T

2–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 46%

44%

47%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

47%

33%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 2

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Nice 5. · St Etienne 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	28	5	2	+75	89
2	Lyon	36	18	8	10	+22	62
3	Monaco	36	16	14	6	+10	62
4	St Etienne	36	17	7	12	+8	58
5	Nice	36	16	9	11	+14	57
6	Lille	36	14	14	8	+11	56
7	Rennes	36	13	13	10	+1	52
8	Angers	36	13	11	12	+4	50
9	Nantes	36	12	12	12	-6	48
10	Caen	36	14	6	16	-15	48
11	Montpellier	36	13	7	16	+2	46
12	Bordeaux	35	11	13	11	-9	46
13	Marseille	36	9	17	10	+5	44
14	Bastia	36	12	8	16	-8	44
15	Guingamp	36	11	10	15	-8	43
16	Lorient	36	10	13	13	-9	43
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	36	8	13	15	-16	37
18	Reims	36	9	9	18	-15	36
19	Toulouse	36	7	13	16	-12	34
20	Troyes	36	3	8	25	-54	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	14	3	1	+43	45
2	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+21	37
3	Nice	18	11	2	5	+14	35
4	St Etienne	18	10	4	4	+11	34
5	Monaco	18	9	6	3	+9	33
6	Lille	18	9	5	4	+10	32
7	Bastia	18	10	2	6	+8	32
8	Nantes	18	8	5	5	+1	29
9	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+4	27
10	Caen	18	8	3	7	-5	27
11	Angers	18	6	8	4	+6	26
12	Guingamp	18	6	7	5	+4	25
13	Lorient	18	6	7	5	+4	25
14	Rennes	18	6	7	5	+1	25
15	Montpellier	18	8	0	10	+1	24
16	Reims	18	6	5	7	+2	23
17	Toulouse	18	5	7	6	+7	22
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	7	6	-5	22
19	Marseille	18	2	11	5	+2	17
20	Troyes	18	1	6	11	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	18	7	8	3	+1	29
3	Marseille	18	7	6	5	+3	27
4	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+0	27
5	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+1	25
6	Lille	18	5	9	4	+1	24
7	Angers	18	7	3	8	-2	24
8	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
9	Montpellier	18	5	7	6	+1	22
10	Nice	18	5	7	6	+0	22
11	Caen	18	6	3	9	-10	21
12	Nantes	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Bordeaux	18	4	7	7	-13	19
14	Guingamp	18	5	3	10	-12	18
15	Lorient	18	4	6	8	-13	18
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	3	6	9	-11	15
17	Reims	18	3	4	11	-17	13
18	Bastia	18	2	6	10	-16	12
19	Toulouse	18	2	6	10	-19	12
20	Troyes	18	2	2	14	-31	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.