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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Club Brugge

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Genk

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 58%

63%

52%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

63%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

58%

52%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,97 xG 0,94

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Genk 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	24	16	3	5	+23	+25.7	51
2	Club Brugge	24	15	5	4	+38	+35.0	50
3	Anderlecht	24	15	5	4	+21	+11.0	50
4	Cercle Brugge	24	15	4	5	+22	+10.1	49
5	Genk	23	12	8	3	+23	+27.2	44
6	Gent	24	12	7	5	+22	+16.4	43
7	Antwerp	24	11	7	6	+24	+18.3	40
8	Mechelen	25	11	6	8	+4	+1.8	39
9	St Truiden	25	7	7	11	-16	-13.1	28
10	Standard	25	5	11	9	-9	-11.0	26
11	Charleroi	27	6	8	13	-20	-13.0	26
12	RWD Molenbeek	27	6	7	14	-31	-31.9	25
13	Westerlo	25	5	8	12	-12	-11.6	23
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	25	5	8	12	-13	-8.6	23
15	Kortrijk	27	4	5	18	-37	-24.7	17
16	Eupen	27	4	3	20	-39	-31.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	12	10	1	1	+15	+9.1	31
2	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+26	+19.0	30
3	Cercle Brugge	12	8	2	2	+16	+8.4	26
4	St. Gilloise	12	8	2	2	+14	+13.6	26
5	Gent	12	7	4	1	+17	+12.0	25
6	Genk	12	7	4	1	+14	+18.1	25
7	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+9	+7.1	22
8	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+20	+15.2	21
9	St Truiden	13	5	4	4	-3	-0.1	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+3	-3.5	18
11	Charleroi	14	4	5	5	-5	+1.0	17
12	Standard	12	4	4	4	+3	+1.6	16
13	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
14	Westerlo	13	4	3	6	-4	-3.5	15
15	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-13	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	14	2	3	9	-14	-8.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	8	1	3	+9	+12.1	25
2	Cercle Brugge	12	7	2	3	+6	+1.6	23
3	Club Brugge	12	6	2	4	+12	+16.0	20
4	Genk	11	5	4	2	+9	+9.1	19
5	Anderlecht	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.9	19
6	Antwerp	13	5	4	4	+4	+3.0	19
7	Gent	12	5	3	4	+5	+4.4	18
8	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	-5	-5.3	17
9	Standard	13	1	7	5	-12	-12.6	10
10	St Truiden	12	2	3	7	-13	-13.1	9
11	Charleroi	13	2	3	8	-15	-13.9	9
12	RWD Molenbeek	14	2	3	9	-21	-19.6	9
13	Westerlo	12	1	5	6	-8	-8.1	8
14	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	0	5	7	-16	-5.1	5
16	Eupen	14	1	1	12	-26	-19.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.