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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
St. Gilloise
S S U U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 28/32 matches
Win Ø 46%
75%
16%
Points per game
2,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
2,1
0,8
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 3. · Seraing United 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 29 21 4 4 +36 67
3 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +28 67
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 35 13 9 13 +0 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 28 11 8 9 +6 41
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing United 32 5 4 23 -39 19
19 Seraing 33 5 4 24 -40 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Seraing United
1–0 S. Adingra
17′
24′
🟨 Sambou Sissoko
2–0 Y. Vertessen
34′
Half-time 2–0
L. Amani 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
46′
47′
M. Mouandilmadji 2–1
M. Cachbach
Ross Sykes ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
59′
🔁 M. Sambu
↦ S. Mvoué
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
63′
Guillaume François 🟨
65′
D. Eckert Ayensa 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
76′
78′
🔁 M. Poaty
↦ S. Lahssaini
79′
🔁 Vagner
↦ N. Solheid
C. Terho 🔁
↦ G. Nilsson
86′
86′
🔁 C. Lepoint
↦ S. Sissoko
V. Boniface 🔁
↦ G. François
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
19 G. François M
10 T. Teuma M
23 Cameron Puertas M
6 O. El Azzouzi M
11 S. Adingra M
18 Y. Vertessen F
29 G. Nilsson F
Bench (7)
8 L. Amani
94 L. Lapoussin
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
17 C. Terho
7 V. Boniface
14 J. Imbrechts
44 S. Van der Heyden

Coach: K. Geraerts

Seraing United

5-4-1
30 G. Dietsch G
27 S. Sissoko D
70 N. Solheid D
4 M. Tshibuabua D
99 M. Mbow D
8 G. Kilota D
5 S. Mvoué M
15 S. Lahssaini M
20 A. Ba M
6 M. Cachbach M
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (7)
21 M. Sambu
18 M. Poaty
7 Vagner
23 C. Lepoint
14 V. Guillaume
28 D. Bunchukov
16 T. Martin

Coach: J. Legros

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.