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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Anderlecht
S S U U U
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
51%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
74%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 35 23 7 5 +47 76
2 Antwerp 35 19 9 7 +18 66
3 Genk 35 18 11 6 +27 65
4 Mechelen 35 18 8 9 +13 62
5 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
6 Gent 35 16 7 12 +23 55
7 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
8 Anderlecht 35 11 19 5 +15 52
9 Oostende 35 15 7 13 +7 52
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 35 13 9 13 +3 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
16′
P. Onuachu 0–1
E. Cobbaut 🔁
↦ K. Sardella
27′
1–1 L. Nmecha
31′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Patrik Hrošovský
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
63′
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
64′
69′
🔁 J. Lucumí
↦ C. Cuesta
Michael Murillo 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ P. Onuachu
81′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ K. Thorstvedt
A. Trebel 🔁
↦ A. Lokonga
82′
86′
C. Dessers 1–2
T. Bongonda
90′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 B. Verbruggen G
20 M. Miazga D
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
62 M. Murillo D
54 K. Sardella D
8 J. Cullen M
18 M. Ashimeru M
48 A. Lokonga M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
46 A. El Hadj M
7 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
22 E. Cobbaut
40 F. Amuzu
11 J. Bruun Larsen
25 A. Trebel
1 T. Wellenreuther
12 P. Mukairu
38 M. Dauda

Coach: V. Kompany

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
33 J. Lucumí
9 C. Dessers
24 L. Oyen
14 B. Toma
77 A. Preciado
21 J. Uronen
40 T. Leysen

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U
3,57
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.