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Conference League
Referee: M Di Bello
Villarreal
T S S U U
0–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 57%
67%
46%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
67%
31%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
31%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,92 xG 2,08
62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -23 Anderlecht – Villarreal 1–1

Match report

Villarreal Anderlecht
Yéremy Pino 🟨
-5′
18′
🟨 Michael Murillo
Half-time 0–0
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ Ramón Terrats
58′
63′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ B. Raman
64′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ L. Refaelov
66′
🟨 Yari Verschaeren
70′
🟨 Islam Slimani
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
72′
Yeremy Pino 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
72′
73′
⚽ I. Slimani 0–1
A. Murillo
76′
🔁 K. Arnstad
↦ Y. Verschaeren
Jorge Cuenca 🟨
78′
82′
🟨 Majeed Ashimeru
87′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ F. Amuzu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Pepe Reina G
8 J. Foyth D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
18 Alberto Moreno D
39 Ramón Terrats M
10 Dani Parejo M
16 Álex Baena M
11 S. Chukwueze F
7 Gerard Moreno F
22 José Luis Morales F
Bench (11)
17 G. Lo Celso
15 N. Jackson
21 Yeremy Pino
2 Kiko Femenía
4 Pau Torres
24 Pedraza
12 J. Mojica
35 F. Jörgensen
14 Manu Trigueros
3 Raúl Albiol
43 Jorge Pascual

Coach: Quique Setién

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
21 A. Diawara M
11 L. Refaelov M
36 A. Dreyer F
9 B. Raman F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (12)
13 I. Slimani
18 M. Ashimeru
61 K. Arnstad
29 M. Stroeykens
27 N. Sadiki
30 H. Van Crombrugge
24 I. Abdulrazak
71 T. Leoni
76 L. Stassin
54 K. Sardella
26 C. Coosemans
32 N. Angulo

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.