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Europa League
Referee: Antonio Mateu
St. Gilloise
S U U S S
1–4
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 58%
56%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,30 xG 2,38
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -23 Leverkusen – St. Gilloise 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.