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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Moreirense
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
15%
37%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Moreirense 18. · Guimaraes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 27 23 4 0 +49 73
2 Sp Lisbon 27 21 4 2 +37 67
3 Benfica 28 19 4 5 +42 61
4 Sp Braga 28 15 7 6 +18 52
5 Gil Vicente 28 12 10 6 +11 46
6 Guimaraes 27 10 6 11 +0 36
7 Estoril 28 8 10 10 -2 34
8 Maritimo 28 8 9 11 -5 33
9 Pacos Ferreira 27 8 9 10 -7 33
10 Santa Clara 27 7 10 10 -13 31
11 Boavista 28 5 15 8 -8 30
12 Portimonense 28 7 8 13 -8 29
13 Vizela 28 6 11 11 -15 29
14 Famalicao 28 6 10 12 -9 28
15 Arouca 28 6 8 14 -22 26
16 Tondela 28 7 4 17 -19 25
17 Belenenses 28 4 9 15 -29 21
18 Moreirense 27 4 8 15 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
3,27
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.