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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
St. Gilloise
T S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 27/32 matches
Win Ø 55%
78%
31%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
70%
56%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
2,6
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
18 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Oostende 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 27 21 3 3 +47 66
2 Anderlecht 27 17 8 2 +44 59
3 Club Brugge 27 18 5 4 +31 59
4 Antwerp 27 17 4 6 +20 55
5 Gent 27 14 7 6 +20 49
6 Charleroi 27 13 7 7 +10 46
7 Cercle Brugge 33 13 7 13 +9 46
8 St Truiden 33 13 6 14 -4 45
9 Kortrijk 33 11 10 12 +2 43
10 Mechelen 27 13 4 10 +0 43
11 Genk 26 12 5 9 +18 41
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 32 10 10 12 -7 40
13 Standard 33 9 9 15 -15 36
14 Waregem 33 9 8 16 -24 35
15 Oostende 32 10 5 17 -28 35
16 Eupen 33 8 8 17 -18 32
17 Seraing 31 8 2 21 -36 26
18 Seraing United 31 8 2 21 -36 26
19 Beerschot VA 33 5 4 24 -33 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Oostende
9′
M. D'Arpino 0–1
C. McGeehan
14′
🟨 Cameron McGeehan
15′
🟨 Kenny Rocha Santos
Kacper Kozłowski 🟨
24′
44′
🟨 Makhtar Gueye
Half-time 0–1
K. Mitoma 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
46′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ K. Kozłowski
59′
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ L. Amani
60′
76′
🔁 A. Amade
↦ T. Ambrose
G. François 🔁
↦ J. Bager
78′
K. Machida 🔁
↦ S. Van der Heyden
78′
1–1 D. Undav
G. François
83′
89′
🟨 Maxime D'Arpino
92′
🟨 Alfons Amade
94′
🔁 R. D'Haese
↦ M. Gueye
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
64 K. Kozłowski F
9 D. Undav F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
18 K. Mitoma
11 Álex Millán
25 D. Marcq
19 G. François
28 K. Machida
21 L. Pirard
24 I. Ziani

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oostende

3-5-2
1 K. Scherpen G
3 Z. Medley D
33 A. Tanghe D
5 O. Urhoghide D
8 C. McGeehan M
6 M. D'Arpino M
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
18 T. Sakamoto M
68 T. Ambrose F
99 A. Albanese M
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
23 A. Amade
29 R. D'Haese
28 G. Hubert
34 N. Bätzner
36 S. Wylin
24 E. Patoulidis
26 V. Koziello

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,29
U ✓
5,33
B
10,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.