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Süper Lig

Referee: Abdulkadir Bitigen

Hatayspor

S S U T T

3–0

Full-time

Galatasaray

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 54%

45%

63%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

55%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

47%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 7. · Galatasaray 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	29	20	4	5	+33	64
2	Galatasaray	30	19	4	7	+34	61
3	Fenerbahce	30	18	5	7	+23	59
4	Trabzonspor	31	16	8	7	+9	56
5	Alanyaspor	30	14	7	9	+19	49
6	Gaziantep	30	12	11	7	+10	47
7	Hatayspor	29	13	7	9	+12	46
8	Karagumruk	31	12	9	10	+8	45
9	Sivasspor	30	9	14	7	+2	41
10	Goztep	31	10	10	11	+2	40
11	Antalyaspor	30	8	15	7	-7	39
12	Konyaspor	29	9	9	11	+0	36
13	Rizespor	30	8	11	11	-11	35
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	29	7	11	11	-4	32
15	Kayserispor	30	8	8	14	-16	32
16	Kasimpasa	30	8	7	15	-14	31
17	Buyuksehyr	30	7	9	14	-16	30
18	Ankaragücü	29	8	5	16	-14	29
19	Erzurumspor	30	6	9	15	-21	27
20	Genclerbirligi	29	7	6	16	-25	27
21	Denizlispor	29	6	7	16	-24	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	15	11	2	2	+24	35
2	Alanyaspor	15	10	3	2	+21	33
3	Gaziantep	15	9	5	1	+14	32
4	Galatasaray	15	9	4	2	+23	31
5	Karagumruk	15	9	2	4	+13	29
6	Goztep	15	7	4	4	+10	25
7	Trabzonspor	15	8	1	6	+2	25
8	Rizespor	15	6	6	3	+2	24
9	Antalyaspor	15	6	6	3	+1	24
10	Fenerbahce	15	7	2	6	+4	23
11	Konyaspor	15	6	5	4	+4	23
12	Hatayspor	14	6	4	4	+7	22
13	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-4	21
14	Ankaragücü	14	6	2	6	+2	20
15	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	5	5	5	+2	20
16	Sivasspor	15	4	7	4	+0	19
17	Kayserispor	15	4	5	6	-6	17
18	Denizlispor	15	4	4	7	-5	16
19	Genclerbirligi	15	4	4	7	-8	16
20	Buyuksehyr	15	3	6	6	-4	15
21	Erzurumspor	15	1	8	6	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+19	36
2	Trabzonspor	16	8	7	1	+7	31
3	Galatasaray	15	10	0	5	+11	30
4	Besiktas	14	9	2	3	+9	29
5	Hatayspor	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+2	22
7	Alanyaspor	15	4	4	7	-2	16
8	Karagumruk	16	3	7	6	-5	16
9	Erzurumspor	15	5	1	9	-13	16
10	Gaziantep	15	3	6	6	-4	15
11	Goztep	16	3	6	7	-8	15
12	Antalyaspor	15	2	9	4	-8	15
13	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-10	15
14	Buyuksehyr	15	4	3	8	-12	15
15	Konyaspor	14	3	4	7	-4	13
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	2	6	6	-6	12
17	Rizespor	15	2	5	8	-13	11
18	Genclerbirligi	14	3	2	9	-17	11
19	Kasimpasa	15	2	4	9	-10	10
20	Ankaragücü	15	2	3	10	-16	9
21	Denizlispor	14	2	3	9	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.