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Süper Lig
Referee: Burak Seker
Kayserispor
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Goztep
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
34%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 16. · Goztep 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 29 20 4 5 +33 64
2 Galatasaray 30 19 4 7 +34 61
3 Fenerbahce 30 18 5 7 +23 59
4 Trabzonspor 30 16 7 7 +9 55
5 Alanyaspor 30 14 7 9 +19 49
6 Gaziantep 30 12 11 7 +10 47
7 Hatayspor 29 13 7 9 +12 46
8 Karagumruk 30 12 8 10 +8 44
9 Sivasspor 29 9 13 7 +2 40
10 Goztep 30 10 9 11 +2 39
11 Antalyaspor 30 8 15 7 -7 39
12 Konyaspor 29 9 9 11 +0 36
13 Rizespor 29 8 10 11 -11 34
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 7 11 11 -4 32
15 Kasimpasa 30 8 7 15 -14 31
16 Kayserispor 29 8 7 14 -16 31
17 Buyuksehyr 30 7 9 14 -16 30
18 Ankaragücü 29 8 5 16 -14 29
19 Erzurumspor 30 6 9 15 -21 27
20 Genclerbirligi 29 7 6 16 -25 27
21 Denizlispor 29 6 7 16 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Goztep
1–0 İ. Parlak
A. Lennon
26′
Half-time 1–1
48′
A. Jahović 1–1
S. Aydoğdu
Muğdat Çelik 🟨
63′
69′
🟨 Fousseni Diabaté
E. Demir 🔁
↦ M. Çelik
73′
79′
🔁 Z. Tripić
↦ A. Jahović
R. Civelek 🔁
↦ Z. Kvržić
85′
K. Luckassen 🔁
↦ J. Attamah
85′
87′
🔁 K. Sönmez
↦ F. Diabaté
87′
🔁 B. Ideye
↦ C. Ndiaye
92′
🔁 Titi
↦ A. Esiti
92′
🔁 P. Žulj
↦ S. Aydoğdu
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-4-2
16 D. Alemdar G
15 U. Demirok D
21 A. Behich D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
25 A. Lennon M
10 Pedro Henrique M
18 Z. Kvržić D
96 D. Avramovski M
3 J. Attamah M
23 İ. Parlak F
11 M. Çelik F
Bench (10)
14 E. Demir
20 R. Civelek
42 K. Luckassen
22 C. Săpunaru
17 N. Korkmaz
24 M. Okutan
2 N. Paz
33 S. Lung
32 Y. Subaşı
73 K. Muhar

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Goztep

4-1-4-1
70 İ. Eğribayat G
20 L. Gassama D
33 A. Nukan D
41 B. Emir D
8 S. Aydoğdu M
5 A. Öztürk D
7 H. Akbunar M
44 A. Esiti M
18 A. Jahović F
29 F. Diabaté M
9 C. Ndiaye M
Bench (10)
11 Z. Tripić
6 K. Sönmez
22 B. Ideye
4 Titi
32 P. Žulj
77 M. Paluli
99 S. Napoleoni
3 M. Mihojević
68 D. Bureković
16 B. Megyeri

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,27
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.