Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rodez
Chambly
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | +26 | 58 |
| 2 |
Troyes
|
30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 58 |
| 3 |
Clermont
|
29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +30 | 55 |
| 4 |
Grenoble
|
30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 6 |
Auxerre
|
30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | +17 | 47 |
| 7 |
Sochaux
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +14 | 46 |
| 8 |
Nancy
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 |
Valenciennes
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 |
Amiens
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Rodez
|
30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 |
Le Havre
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 |
Niort
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 37 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 |
Ajaccio
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 |
Pau FC
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |
Dunkerque
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 |
Guingamp
|
30 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Chambly | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Guingamp
Rodez
Rodez
Valenciennes
Ajaccio
Rodez
Auxerre
Rodez
Rodez
Toulouse
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.