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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Club Brugge
U U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Gent
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 56%
66%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
66%
48%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 19 6 4 +34 63
2 Anderlecht 29 17 4 8 +12 55
3 Standard 29 15 8 6 +16 53
4 Genk 29 12 12 5 +10 48
5 Gent 29 13 7 9 +15 46
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Charleroi 29 11 9 9 -1 42
8 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Gent
28′
Y. Kubo 0–1
S. Gigot
Half-time 0–1
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ H. Vanaken
56′
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ Wesley
56′
81′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ F. Andrijašević
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ T. Simons
85′
88′
🔁 R. Janga
↦ R. Yaremchuk
94′
🔁 S. Rosted
↦ M. Simon
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

22 E. Horvath
5 B. Poulain
24 S. Denswil
44 B. Mechele
21 D. Cools
25 R. Vormer
3 T. Simons
20 H. Vanaken
11 K. Diatta
9 J. Vossen
7 Wesley
Bench (7)
8 L. Refaelov
42 E. Dennis
40 J. Vanlerberghe
1 V. Gabulov
2 A. Scholz
6 J. Clasie
14 I. Tomečak

Coach: I. Leko

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
23 F. Andrijašević
19 B. Dejaegere
32 T. Foket
44 A. Esiti
31 Y. Kubo
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
7 G. Chakvetadze
14 R. Janga
4 S. Rosted
99 J. David
5 N. Dussenne
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.