← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Carlos Macedo
Portimonense
T T U S T
1–2
Full-time
Casa Pia
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Portimonense Casa Pia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
38%
31%
Both score Ø 31%
31%
31%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 8. · Casa Pia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 13 12 1 0 +30 37
2 Porto 13 9 2 2 +22 29
3 Sp Braga 13 9 1 3 +17 28
4 Sp Lisbon 13 8 1 4 +11 25
5 Casa Pia 13 7 2 4 +3 23
6 Guimaraes 13 7 2 4 +1 23
7 Rio Ave 14 5 4 5 -2 19
8 Portimonense 13 6 1 6 -2 19
9 Chaves 13 5 4 4 -3 19
10 Arouca 13 5 4 4 -5 19
11 Boavista 13 5 2 6 -9 17
12 Estoril 13 4 4 5 -4 16
13 Vizela 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Santa Clara 13 3 4 6 -2 13
15 Famalicao 13 3 2 8 -7 11
16 Gil Vicente 13 2 3 8 -10 9
17 Maritimo 14 1 4 9 -19 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 13 0 2 11 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Casa Pia
Paulo Estrela 🟨
11′
17′
🟨 Afonso Taira
Mohamed Diaby 🟨
26′
31′
Neto 0–1
33′
🟨 Lucas Soares
1–1 Luquinha
35′
Half-time 1–1
Gustavo Klismahn 🟨
52′
Ricardo Matos 🔁
↦ Klismahn
62′
62′
🔁 Clayton
↦ Rafael Martins
Bruno Reis 🔁
↦ Paulo Estrela
72′
Henrique Jocú 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
72′
77′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Neto
77′
🔁 Vitó
↦ T. Kunimoto
79′
🟨 Clayton
Pedrão 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Cuca
↦ Afonso Taira
A. Sapara 🔁
↦ Yago Cariello
86′
Rui Gomes 🔁
↦ Luquinha
86′
86′
🔁 C. Antoine
↦ Romário Baró
94′
C. Antoine 1–2
Lucas Soares
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-3-3
32 K. Nakamura G
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
14 M. Seck D
38 Paulo Estrela M
24 M. Diaby M
27 Klismahn M
3 Z. Ouattara F
99 Yago Cariello F
20 Luquinha F
Bench (9)
17 Ricardo Matos
85 Bruno Reis
6 Henrique Jocú
77 A. Sapara
70 Rui Gomes
35 B. Róchez
19 Gonçalo Costa
31 Mateus Oliveira
30 Kim Yong-Hak

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Casa Pia

3-4-3
33 Ricardo Batista G
15 Fernando Varela D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
19 N. Zolotić D
42 Lucas Soares M
8 Neto M
27 Afonso Taira M
6 Derick Poloni M
14 T. Kunimoto F
11 Rafael Martins F
17 Romário Baró F
Bench (9)
99 Clayton
88 Y. Eteki
18 Vitó
16 Cuca
9 C. Antoine
1 João Bravim
4 Léo Bolgado
3 João Nunes
2 E. Fereira

Coach: Filipe Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,19
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Macedo · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.