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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Cartagena
T U U S S
2–3
Full-time
Ponferradina
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sp Gijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zaragoza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Tenerife 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Santander 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -22 Ponferradina – Cartagena 4–2 30. Oct -21 Cartagena – Ponferradina 0–1 12. Mar -21 Cartagena – Ponferradina 1–1 11. Oct -20 Ponferradina – Cartagena 0–2

Match report

Cartagena Ponferradina
7′
⚽ Derik Lacerda 0–1
K. Nwakali
1–1 Mikel Rico ⚽
P. De Blasis
35′
Half-time 1–2
51′
⚽ Dani Ojeda 1–2
José Naranjo
Damián Musto 🟨
53′
Tejera 🔁
↦ D. Musto
59′
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ David Ferreiro
59′
61′
⚽ Dani Ojeda 1–3
Yuri
66′
🔁 S. Abdulai
↦ Yuri
Sergio Tejera 🟨
71′
Borja Valle 🔁
↦ Óscar
74′
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
74′
75′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Derik Lacerda
75′
🔁 Aldair
↦ Dani Ojeda
78′
🟨 Paris Barandiaran
A. Sadiku 🔁
↦ Iván Calero
81′
86′
🔁 Kuki
↦ José Naranjo
86′
🔁 José Amo
↦ K. Nwakali
2–3 Borja Valle ⚽
Pablo Vázquez
88′
Franchu 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
6 T. Datković D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
18 D. Musto M
17 Mikel Rico M
11 Óscar M
8 P. De Blasis M
7 David Ferreiro M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
23 Tejera
14 F. Feuillassier
10 Borja Valle
24 I. Jansson
19 A. Sadiku
15 Sangalli
34 Pedro García
22 Delmás
13 Aarón Escandell
28 Neskes
26 José Mari
4 Alcalá

Coach: Luis Carrión

Ponferradina

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
16 Moi Delgado D
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
11 K. Nwakali M
20 José Naranjo M
10 Yuri F
23 Derik Lacerda F
Bench (12)
24 S. Abdulai
19 Edu Espiau
2 Aldair
17 Kuki
5 José Amo
14 Ricard Pujol
13 G. Makaridze
21 Juan Hernández
15 Adrián Castellano
6 P. Anton
26 Ibrahim Janis
27 Raúl Arias

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B ✓
3,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,29
🔒
U2,5
1,60
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.