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Bundesliga

Referee: O Drachta

Sturm Graz

S S T

0–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · SK Rapid 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	LASK	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+4	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Altach	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Mattersburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3
11	St. Polten	4	0	2	2	-9	2
12	Admira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hartberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Mattersburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-6	1
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Admira	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	LASK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	SK Rapid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-3	1
9	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Altach	2	0	0	2	-3	0
11	Admira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Mattersburg	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.