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Championship

Referee: A Davies

Reading

U T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Cardiff

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 24. · Cardiff 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Charlton	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Millwall	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Fulham	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Derby	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Hull	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	QPR	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Preston	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Blackburn	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Wigan	3	1	0	2	-4	3
20	Luton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Reading	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Wigan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Luton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	QPR	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hull	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.