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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Vitesse

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

64%

21%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

64%

79%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Vitesse 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+22	33
2	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+27	30
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	0	4	+22	30
4	Twente	13	9	2	2	+18	29
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Heerenveen	14	5	6	3	+2	21
8	Utrecht	13	6	3	4	+0	21
9	Waalwijk	15	4	6	5	-3	18
10	Nijmegen	14	3	8	3	+3	17
11	Go Ahead Eagles	14	3	6	5	-3	15
12	For Sittard	14	4	3	7	-7	15
13	Vitesse	14	3	4	7	-13	13
14	Excelsior	14	4	1	9	-21	13
15	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-12	12
16	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-16	11
17	Cambuur	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Volendam	14	1	3	10	-26	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+18	18
3	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+19	14
6	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
10	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+4	8
11	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	FC Emmen	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	7	1	0	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Utrecht	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-8	6
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-18	4
17	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3
18	FC Emmen	8	1	0	7	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.