Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Paris SG
Lille
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lens
|
17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | +18 | +8.4 | 40 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +22 | +16.4 | 39 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +19 | +10.1 | 32 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +11 | +6.6 | 32 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +8 | +7.1 | 30 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +5 | -0.3 | 30 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | +5 | +5.1 | 24 |
| 8 |
Toulouse
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +2 | +2.4 | 23 |
| 9 |
Monaco
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -5 | +2.8 | 23 |
| 10 |
Angers
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -2 | -11.9 | 22 |
| 11 |
Brest
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -4 | +1.3 | 22 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -7 | +1.9 | 22 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -8 | -2.4 | 18 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -10 | -10.4 | 18 |
| 15 |
Paris FC
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -9 | -6.5 | 16 |
| 16 |
Nantes
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -12 | -12.7 | 14 |
| 17 |
Auxerre
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -13 | -3.5 | 12 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -20 | -14.5 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Chevalier
G
W. Zaire-Emery
D
Marquinhos
D
W. Pacho
D
N. Mendes
D
S. Mayulu
M
Vitinha
M
F. Ruiz
M
D. Doue
F
O. Dembele
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
F
Coach: Enrique Luis
B. Ozer
G
T. Santos
D
N. Ngoy
D
A. Mandi
D
R. Perraud
D
N. Mukau
M
N. Bentaleb
M
A. Bouaddi
M
E. Mbappe
F
O. Giroud
F
H. Haraldsson
F
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Paris SG
Paris FC
Paris SG
Paris FC
Vendée Fontenay
Paris SG
Metz
Paris SG
Ath Bilbao
Paris SG
J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.