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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Lyon

S T S S S

4–1

Full-time

Troyes

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 7. · Troyes 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Lille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Nantes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Brest	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Auxerre	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.