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FA Cup
Northwich Victoria
S
2–3
Full-time
West Didsbury & Chorlton
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Northwich Victoria West Didsbury & Chorlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — FA Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Northwich Victoria 167. · West Didsbury & Chorlton 194. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newhaven 2 1 1 0 +10 4
2 Sheppey United 2 1 1 0 +6 4
3 Hertford Town 2 1 1 0 +5 4
4 Laverstock & Ford 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Highgate United 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Walton & Hersham 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Histon 2 1 1 0 +4 4
8 Cadbury Heath 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Peacehaven & Telscombe 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Long Eaton United 2 1 1 0 +3 4
11 Barton Rovers 2 1 1 0 +3 4
12 Harborough Town 2 1 1 0 +3 4
13 Worcester Raiders 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Spelthorne Sports 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Soham Town Rangers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Anstey Nomads 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Charnock Richard 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Tow Law Town 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Royal Wootton 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Shepshed Dynamo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Southall 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 Ramsbottom United 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 Widnes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 Ilfracombe Town 2 1 1 0 +2 4
25 Didcot Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Pinchbeck United 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Prestwich Heys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Mousehole 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Raynes Park Vale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Stotfold 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 Camberley Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
32 Rugby Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 K Sports 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Prescot Cables 2 1 1 0 +1 4
35 Deal Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
36 Mulbarton Wanderers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Leicester Nirvana 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Stone Old Alleynians 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Barking 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Torpoint Athletic 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Fisher 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Bury AFC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Ashford Town (Middlesex) 1 1 0 0 +8 3
44 Leighton Town 1 1 0 0 +7 3
45 Trafford 1 1 0 0 +6 3
46 Stourport Swifts 1 1 0 0 +6 3
47 St Neots Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
48 Moneyfields 1 1 0 0 +5 3
49 Sevenoaks Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
50 Witham Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
51 Wincanton Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
52 Wisbech Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
53 Studley 1 1 0 0 +4 3
54 Loughborough University 1 1 0 0 +4 3
55 Hanley Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
56 Kimberley Miners Welfare 1 1 0 0 +4 3
57 Heybridge Swifts 1 1 0 0 +4 3
58 Chichester City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
59 Congleton Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
60 Badshot Lea 1 1 0 0 +4 3
61 Hamworthy United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
62 Sheffield 1 1 0 0 +4 3
63 Flackwell Heath 1 1 0 0 +4 3
64 Gorleston 1 1 0 0 +4 3
65 Avro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
66 Lancing 1 1 0 0 +4 3
67 Erith Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
68 Bury Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
69 Tividale 1 1 0 0 +4 3
70 Romford 1 1 0 0 +3 3
71 Baffins Milton Rovers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
72 Bishop's Cleeve 1 1 0 0 +3 3
73 Larkhall Athletic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
74 Waltham Abbey 1 1 0 0 +3 3
75 Goole 1 1 0 0 +3 3
76 Ilford 1 1 0 0 +3 3
77 Midhurst & Easebourne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
78 Knaphill 1 1 0 0 +3 3
79 Shefford Town & Campton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
80 Shepton Mallet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
81 Lye Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
82 Stansfeld 1 1 0 0 +3 3
83 Stocksbridge Park Steels 1 1 0 0 +3 3
84 Three Bridges 1 1 0 0 +3 3
85 Hanworth Villa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
86 Brantham Athletic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
87 Bugbrooke St Michaels 1 1 0 0 +3 3
88 Tooting & Mitcham United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
89 Godmanchester Rovers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
90 Beckenham Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
91 Leverstock Green 1 1 0 0 +3 3
92 North Ferriby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
93 Lichfield City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
94 Kidlington 1 1 0 0 +2 3
95 Tilbury 1 1 0 0 +2 3
96 Cinderford Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
97 Bridlington Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
98 Enfield 1893 1 1 0 0 +2 3
99 Newmarket Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
100 Fareham Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
101 Newport Isle of Wight FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
102 Phoenix Sports 1 1 0 0 +2 3
103 Roman Glass St George 1 1 0 0 +2 3
104 Sunderland RCA 1 1 0 0 +2 3
105 Kendal Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
106 Chipping Sodbury Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
107 Littlehampton Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
108 Wolverhampton Casuals 1 1 0 0 +2 3
109 Reading City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
110 Westfield (Surrey) 1 1 0 0 +2 3
111 AFC Kempston Rovers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
112 Ossett United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
113 Dunstable Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
114 Penistone Church 1 1 0 0 +2 3
115 Lymington Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
116 Newcastle Benfield 1 1 0 0 +2 3
117 West Allotment Celtic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
118 Romulus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
119 Whitchurch Alport 1 1 0 0 +2 3
120 Aylesbury United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
121 AFC Portchester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
122 Skegness Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
123 Macclesfield 1 1 0 0 +2 3
124 Andover New Street 1 1 0 0 +2 3
125 FC Romania 1 1 0 0 +2 3
126 Glebe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
127 Horndean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
128 Ardley United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
129 Ashington AFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
130 North Greenford United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
131 Blackfield & Langley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
132 Crawley Down Gatwick 1 1 0 0 +1 3
133 Lincoln United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
134 Harefield United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
135 Aylesbury Vale Dynamos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
136 Potton United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
137 Rusthall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
138 Brixham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
139 Whitton United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
140 Seaham Red Star 1 1 0 0 +1 3
141 Market Drayton Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
142 Ascot United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
143 Dereham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
144 Tunbridge Wells 1 1 0 0 +1 3
145 Northwood 1 1 0 0 +1 3
146 Willand Rovers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
147 Colne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
148 Leicester Road 1 1 0 0 +1 3
149 Spalding United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
150 AFC Stoneham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
151 Newcastle Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
152 Atherstone Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
153 Brimscombe & Thrupp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
154 Guildford City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
155 Buckland Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
156 Clevedon Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
157 Eastbourne Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
158 Harpenden Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
159 Fakenham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
160 Malvern Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
161 Sheringham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
162 North Shields 1 1 0 0 +1 3
163 Punjab United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
164 Racing Club Warwick 1 1 0 0 +1 3
165 Takeley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
166 Skelmersdale United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
167 Northwich Victoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
168 Helston Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
169 Slimbridge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
170 Carlisle City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
171 West Essex 1 1 0 0 +1 3
172 Westbury United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
173 St. Panteleimon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
174 Clacton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
175 Buckhurst Hill 1 1 0 0 +1 3
176 Falmouth Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
177 Edgware Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
178 Whickham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
179 Chatham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
180 Stansted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
181 Bideford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
182 AFC Mansfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
183 East Grinstead Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
184 Glossop North End 1 1 0 0 +1 3
185 Colliers Wood United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
186 Boldmere St. Michaels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
187 Bedworth United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
188 Cowes Sports 1 1 0 0 +1 3
189 Pontefract Collieries 1 1 0 0 +1 3
190 Bishop Auckland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
191 Mildenhall Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
192 Handsworth Parramore 1 1 0 0 +1 3
193 Hassocks 1 1 0 0 +1 3
194 West Didsbury & Chorlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
195 Quorn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
196 Sheerwater 1 1 0 0 +1 3
197 Silsden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
198 Southend Manor 1 1 0 0 +1 3
199 Sutton Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
200 Hythe Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
201 Virginia Water 1 1 0 0 +1 3
202 Heaton Stannington 1 1 0 0 +1 3
203 Ipswich Wanderers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
204 Holyport 1 1 0 0 +1 3
205 United Services 1 1 0 0 +1 3
206 Bottesford Town 2 0 2 0 +0 2
207 Barton Town Old Boys 2 0 2 0 +0 2
208 Barnoldswick Town 2 0 2 0 +0 2
209 Albion Sports 2 0 2 0 +0 2
210 Burnham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
211 Easington Sports 2 0 2 0 +0 2
212 Shrivenham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
213 Melton Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
214 Litherland Remyca 2 0 1 1 -1 1
215 Barnstaple Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
216 Erith & Belvedere 2 0 1 1 -1 1
217 Newport Pagnell Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
218 Shaftesbury Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
219 Westfields 2 0 1 1 -1 1
220 Whitehawk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
221 Ashton Athletic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
222 Egham Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
223 Haverhill Rovers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
224 Selston 2 0 1 1 -1 1
225 Cogenhoe United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
226 Coggeshall Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
227 Millbrook 2 0 1 1 -1 1
228 Sutton Common Rovers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
229 Hallam 2 0 1 1 -1 1
230 Daventry Town 2 0 1 1 -2 1
231 Bearsted 2 0 1 1 -2 1
232 Thetford Town 2 0 1 1 -2 1
233 Radford 2 0 1 1 -2 1
234 Yorkshire Amateur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
235 Tadcaster Albion 2 0 1 1 -2 1
236 Windsor 2 0 1 1 -2 1
237 Winterton Rangers 2 0 1 1 -2 1
238 Redhill 2 0 1 1 -2 1
239 Thackley 2 0 1 1 -2 1
240 Winsford United 2 0 1 1 -2 1
241 Sherborne Town 2 0 1 1 -2 1
242 Mangotsfield United 2 0 1 1 -3 1
243 AFC Croydon Athletic 2 0 1 1 -3 1
244 Sherwood Colliery 2 0 1 1 -3 1
245 Arlesey Town 2 0 1 1 -3 1
246 Boston United 2 0 1 1 -3 1
247 Alresford Town 2 0 1 1 -4 1
248 Coventry United 2 0 1 1 -4 1
249 Kennington 2 0 1 1 -4 1
250 Desborough Town 2 0 1 1 -4 1
251 Colney Heath 2 0 1 1 -5 1
252 Athletic Newham 2 0 1 1 -6 1
253 Canterbury City 2 0 1 1 -10 1
254 Holmesdale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
255 Thatcham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
256 Wokingham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
257 Newton Aycliffe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Bexhill United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Christchurch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 Crowborough Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Grimsby Borough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Lordswood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 Longlevens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 Norwich United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 Loxwood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 Tavistock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Wellingborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 Redcar Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 Shifnal Town FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Cribbs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 Wroxham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Chipstead 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 South Park 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Wellington AFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 1874 Northwich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Evesham United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Deeping Rangers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Bashley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 AFC Wulfrunians 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Gresley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Fairford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 Broadfields United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Exmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Chalfont St Peter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 Steyning Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 New Salamis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
287 Kirkley & Pakefield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
288 Worcester City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
289 March Town United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
290 Knaresborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
291 Balham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
292 Bewdley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
293 Redbridge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
294 Padiham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
295 Squires Gate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
296 Street 1 0 0 1 -1 0
297 Tuffley Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
298 West Auckland Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
299 Crawley Green 1 0 0 1 -1 0
300 Bournemouth FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
301 White Ensign 1 0 0 1 -1 0
302 Little Oakley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
303 Walthamstow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
304 Saltash United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
305 Hoddesdon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
306 Frickley Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
307 Little Common 1 0 0 1 -1 0
308 Hadley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
309 Bridgwater Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
310 Corby Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
311 Hollands & Blair 1 0 0 1 -1 0
312 AFC Emley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
313 Faversham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
314 Walsall Wood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
315 Coventry Sphinx 1 0 0 1 -1 0
316 Hamble Club 1 0 0 1 -1 0
317 Garforth Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
318 Guisborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
319 Hadleigh United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
320 Sleaford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
321 Lingfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
322 Longridge Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
323 Maltby Main 1 0 0 1 -1 0
324 Banstead Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
325 Burscough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
326 Cockfosters 1 0 0 1 -1 0
327 Welling Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
328 Varndeanians 1 0 0 1 -1 0
329 Hilltop 1 0 0 1 -1 0
330 Pickering Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
331 Yaxley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
332 Risborough Rangers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
333 Welton Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
334 Lydney Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
335 Milton Keynes Irish 1 0 0 1 -2 0
336 Bitton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
337 Whitley Bay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
338 Hullbridge Sports 1 0 0 1 -2 0
339 Eynesbury Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
340 Hythe & Dibden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
341 Fleet Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
342 Oxhey Jets 1 0 0 1 -2 0
343 Tring Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
344 Hebburn Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
345 Thornaby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
346 Thornbury Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
347 Broadbridge Heath 1 0 0 1 -2 0
348 Hinckley AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
349 Highworth Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
350 Eastbourne United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
351 Long Melford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
352 New Mills 1 0 0 1 -2 0
353 Great Wakering Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
354 Lower Breck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
355 Portland United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
356 Crook Town AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
357 Penrith AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
358 Sutton Coldfield Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
359 Vauxhall Motors 1 0 0 1 -2 0
360 Ashton & Backwell United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
361 Corsham Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
362 Loughborough Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
363 Wythenshawe Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
364 Warminster Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
365 London Lions 1 0 0 1 -2 0
366 Saffron Walden Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
367 Alton Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
368 Wantage Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
369 Folland Sports 1 0 0 1 -3 0
370 Woodford Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
371 Consett 1 0 0 1 -3 0
372 Sawbridgeworth Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
373 Uckfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
374 Alfold 1 0 0 1 -3 0
375 Stanway Rovers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
376 Liskeard Athletic 1 0 0 1 -3 0
377 Heather St Johns 1 0 0 1 -3 0
378 Wembley 1 0 0 1 -3 0
379 Golcar United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
380 Whitstable Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
381 Abbey Rangers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
382 Basildon United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
383 Long Buckby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
384 Cobham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
385 Rothwell Corinthians 1 0 0 1 -3 0
386 Horsham YMCA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
387 Halstead Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
388 Northallerton Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
389 Belper United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
390 Tadley Calleva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
391 Ely City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
392 Heanor Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
393 Newark Flowserve 1 0 0 1 -4 0
394 Hereford Lads Club 1 0 0 1 -4 0
395 Lutterworth Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
396 Clapton 1 0 0 1 -4 0
397 Frimley Green 1 0 0 1 -4 0
398 Abbey Hey 1 0 0 1 -4 0
399 Brockenhurst 1 0 0 1 -4 0
400 Bradford Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
401 Eccleshill United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
402 Keynsham Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
403 Biggleswade United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
404 Irlam 1 0 0 1 -4 0
405 Roffey 1 0 0 1 -4 0
406 Pagham 1 0 0 1 -4 0
407 Lakenheath 1 0 0 1 -4 0
408 Darlaston Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
409 Walsham Le Willows 1 0 0 1 -5 0
410 Bemerton Heath Harleq. 1 0 0 1 -5 0
411 Horley Town 1 0 0 1 -5 0
412 London Colney 1 0 0 1 -5 0
413 AFC Liverpool 1 0 0 1 -6 0
414 Hereford Pegasus 1 0 0 1 -6 0
415 Baldock Town 1 0 0 1 -7 0
416 Saltdean United 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.