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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Lyon
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Lyon Ajaccio
1–0 Tetê ⚽
A. Lacazette
12′
20′
🟨 Cedric Avinel
2–0 A. Lacazette ⚽
22′
Anthony Lopes 🟥
27′
R. Riou 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
30′
31′
⚽ T. Mangani 2–1
Alexandre Lacazette 🟨
33′
33′
🟨 Romain Hamouma
34′
🟨 Mounaim El Idrissy
41′
🟨 Ismaël Diallo
Half-time 2–1
49′
🟨 Romain Hamouma
49′
🟥 Romain Hamouma
71′
🔁 Y. Cimignani
↦ R. Nouri
71′
🔁 B. Moussiti-Oko
↦ M. El Idrissy
71′
🔁 K. Spadanuda
↦ C. Bayala
C. Tolisso 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
75′
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ K. Toko-Ekambi
75′
R. Cherki 🔁
↦ Tetê
89′
89′
🔁 M. Coutadeur
↦ V. Marchetti
89′
🔁 Q. Laçi
↦ T. Mangani
93′
🟨 Kevin Spadanuda
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 M. Gusto D
23 Thiago Mendes D
4 C. Lukeba D
3 N. Tagliafico D
10 Lucas Paquetá M
24 J. Lepenant M
8 H. Aouar M
20 Tetê F
91 A. Lacazette F
7 K. Toko-Ekambi F
Bench (9)
35 R. Riou
88 C. Tolisso
26 B. Barcola
18 R. Cherki
17 J. Boateng
2 S. Diomandé
11 T. Kadewere
21 D. Da Silva
32 M. El Arouch

Coach: P. Bosz

Ajaccio

4-4-2
1 B. Leroy G
2 M. Alphonse D
25 O. Gonzalez D
21 C. Avinel D
3 I. Diallo D
14 C. Bayala M
8 V. Marchetti M
23 T. Mangani M
5 R. Nouri M
7 M. El Idrissy F
17 R. Hamouma F
Bench (9)
22 Y. Cimignani
11 B. Moussiti-Oko
27 K. Spadanuda
6 M. Coutadeur
10 Q. Laçi
15 C. Vidal
9 G. Courtet
20 M. Youssouf
16 F. Sollacaro

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
🔒
U
5,35
🔒
B
9,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
U2,5
2,21
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.