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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
Reims
T U T T S
3–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 55%
32%
78%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
30%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,1
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 9. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 4 4 +72 91
2 Lille 37 22 9 6 +37 75
3 Lyon 37 20 9 8 +22 69
4 St Etienne 37 19 8 10 +18 65
5 Montpellier 37 15 14 8 +12 59
6 Marseille 37 17 7 13 +7 58
7 Nimes 37 15 8 14 +0 53
8 Nice 37 14 11 12 -7 53
9 Reims 37 12 16 9 -5 52
10 Rennes 37 12 13 12 +1 49
11 Nantes 37 13 9 15 +1 48
12 Strasbourg 37 10 16 11 +9 46
13 Angers 37 10 15 12 -5 45
14 Bordeaux 37 9 11 17 -9 38
15 Toulouse 37 8 14 15 -21 38
16 Monaco 37 8 12 17 -17 36
17 Amiens 37 8 11 18 -22 35
18 Caen 37 7 12 18 -24 33
19 Dijon 37 8 7 22 -30 31
20 Guingamp 37 5 12 20 -39 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Paris SG
Tristan Dingome 🟨
15′
1–0 A. Baba
R. Oudin
36′
44′
🟨 Julian Draxler
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Cafaro
M. Doumbia
56′
59′
K. Mbappé 2–1
E. Cavani
66′
🔁 Dani Alves
↦ J. Draxler
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ T. Dingomé
70′
P. Chavarría 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
75′
79′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ L. Paredes
Edouard Mendy 🟨
80′
M. Martin 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
84′
90′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ L. Kurzawa
3–1 P. Chavarría
A. Baba
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
16 E. Mendy G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
21 A. Baba D
6 A. Disasi D
4 A. Romao M
7 X. Chavalerin M
20 T. Dingomé M
13 H. Kamara D
25 M. Doumbia M
24 M. Cafaro M
18 R. Oudin F
Bench (7)
17 A. Zeneli
12 P. Chavarría
8 M. Martin
19 T. Fontaine
11 S. Ojo
30 N. Lemaitre
26 N. Mbemba

Coach: D. Guion

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Buffon G
12 T. Meunier D
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos D
4 T. Kehrer D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
8 L. Paredes M
23 J. Draxler M
9 E. Cavani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
13 Dani Alves
14 Juan Bernat
17 E. Choupo-Moting
33 L. Mbe Soh
31 C. Dagba
50 S. Cibois
24 C. Nkunku

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.