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Ligue 1

Referee: J Hamel

Troyes

T T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Brest

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

56%

78%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 17. · Brest 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	14	3	1	+22	45
2	Marseille	17	9	5	3	+11	32
3	Rennes	18	9	4	5	+17	31
4	Nice	18	9	4	5	+11	31
5	Montpellier	18	8	4	6	+6	28
6	Lens	18	7	6	5	+6	27
7	Strasbourg	18	7	5	6	+10	26
8	Monaco	18	7	5	6	+5	26
9	Angers	18	6	7	5	+2	25
10	Nantes	18	7	4	7	+1	25
11	Lille	18	6	7	5	-1	25
12	Lyon	17	6	6	5	+0	24
13	Brest	18	6	6	6	-2	24
14	Reims	18	5	7	6	+0	22
15	Bordeaux	18	3	8	7	-12	17
16	Clermont	18	4	5	9	-12	17
17	Troyes	18	4	4	10	-10	16
18	Metz	18	3	6	9	-16	15
19	Lorient	18	3	6	9	-16	15
20	St Etienne	18	2	6	10	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+15	25
2	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Strasbourg	10	5	2	3	+11	17
4	Montpellier	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Lens	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Nantes	9	5	1	3	+4	16
7	Lille	9	4	4	1	+1	16
8	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+7	15
9	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+6	15
11	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
12	Nice	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Reims	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Brest	9	3	3	3	+0	12
15	Lorient	8	3	2	3	-1	11
16	Troyes	9	2	3	4	-1	9
17	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Bordeaux	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Metz	9	1	4	4	-5	7
20	St Etienne	9	1	4	4	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Nice	9	6	1	2	+10	19
3	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Rennes	8	3	3	2	+6	12
5	Angers	9	2	6	1	+2	12
6	Brest	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Monaco	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Lens	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Bordeaux	9	2	4	3	-8	10
12	Strasbourg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Lille	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Nantes	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Clermont	10	2	2	6	-11	8
17	Metz	9	2	2	5	-11	8
18	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.