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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Sansalan

Erzurumspor

U U S T T

2–2

Full-time

Karagumruk

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

23%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 18. · Karagumruk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	18	3	5	+33	57
2	Besiktas	26	18	3	5	+31	57
3	Fenerbahce	26	17	3	6	+21	54
4	Trabzonspor	26	14	6	6	+7	48
5	Hatayspor	26	13	6	7	+15	45
6	Gaziantep	27	11	10	6	+9	43
7	Alanyaspor	26	12	6	8	+14	42
8	Karagumruk	26	11	7	8	+7	40
9	Goztep	26	9	8	9	+5	35
10	Antalyaspor	26	7	13	6	-5	34
11	Sivasspor	25	7	11	7	-1	32
12	Konyaspor	25	8	7	10	+2	31
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	27	7	10	10	-3	31
14	Kasimpasa	26	8	5	13	-12	29
15	Rizespor	26	6	10	10	-12	28
16	Kayserispor	25	6	7	12	-13	25
17	Buyuksehyr	26	6	7	13	-16	25
18	Erzurumspor	26	6	7	13	-17	25
19	Denizlispor	26	5	6	15	-23	21
20	Genclerbirligi	26	5	6	15	-26	21
21	Ankaragücü	25	5	5	15	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	13	10	1	2	+23	31
2	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+24	30
3	Alanyaspor	13	9	2	2	+17	29
4	Gaziantep	14	8	5	1	+12	29
5	Karagumruk	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Goztep	13	6	4	3	+10	22
7	Hatayspor	13	6	4	3	+9	22
8	Fenerbahce	13	7	1	5	+5	22
9	Trabzonspor	13	7	1	5	+1	22
10	Konyaspor	13	5	5	3	+6	20
11	Rizespor	13	5	5	3	+1	20
12	Antalyaspor	13	5	5	3	-1	20
13	Kasimpasa	13	6	2	5	-3	20
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	5	4	5	+2	19
15	Sivasspor	12	3	5	4	-1	14
16	Ankaragücü	12	4	2	6	-2	14
17	Buyuksehyr	13	3	5	5	-3	14
18	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-4	13
19	Genclerbirligi	13	3	4	6	-8	13
20	Denizlispor	13	3	3	7	-6	12
21	Erzurumspor	13	1	6	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	10	2	1	+16	32
2	Galatasaray	13	9	0	4	+9	27
3	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+8	26
4	Trabzonspor	13	7	5	1	+6	26
5	Hatayspor	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	Sivasspor	13	4	6	3	+0	18
7	Erzurumspor	13	5	1	7	-9	16
8	Gaziantep	13	3	5	5	-3	14
9	Karagumruk	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Antalyaspor	13	2	8	3	-4	14
11	Alanyaspor	13	3	4	6	-3	13
12	Goztep	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	2	6	5	-5	12
14	Kayserispor	13	3	3	7	-9	12
15	Konyaspor	12	3	2	7	-4	11
16	Buyuksehyr	13	3	2	8	-13	11
17	Kasimpasa	13	2	3	8	-9	9
18	Denizlispor	13	2	3	8	-17	9
19	Rizespor	13	1	5	7	-13	8
20	Genclerbirligi	13	2	2	9	-18	8
21	Ankaragücü	13	1	3	9	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.