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Ligue 1

Referee: J Hamel

Paris SG

S T U S T

2–0

Full-time

Lorient

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

64%

21%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

2,4

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

24 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Lorient 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+18	32
2	Lyon	14	8	5	1	+14	29
3	Paris SG	14	9	1	4	+23	28
4	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+9	27
5	Montpellier	15	8	2	5	+2	26
6	Monaco	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Angers	15	7	2	6	-4	23
8	Rennes	14	6	4	4	+2	22
9	Nice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Lens	13	6	3	4	+0	21
11	Brest	14	7	0	7	-2	21
12	Metz	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
14	Strasbourg	15	4	2	9	-4	14
15	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-9	14
16	Reims	15	3	4	8	-6	13
17	St Etienne	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Lorient	14	3	2	9	-9	11
19	Nimes	15	3	2	10	-18	11
20	Dijon	15	1	6	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Brest	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
5	Paris SG	7	4	1	2	+11	13
6	Bordeaux	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	-2	12
8	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Angers	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Nantes	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lorient	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Nice	7	2	1	4	-5	7
18	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	8	0	4	4	-6	4
20	Nimes	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Lille	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Metz	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Strasbourg	8	3	0	5	+2	9
12	Bordeaux	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
14	Reims	8	1	3	4	-2	6
15	Brest	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Nantes	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	7	1	1	5	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.