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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Montpellier

S S S T S

0–2

Full-time

Metz

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

57%

29%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

64%

29%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 5. · Metz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Lyon	14	8	5	1	+14	29
3	Paris SG	14	9	1	4	+23	28
4	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+9	27
5	Montpellier	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Monaco	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Angers	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Rennes	14	6	4	4	+2	22
9	Lens	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Brest	14	7	0	7	-2	21
11	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Nice	13	5	3	5	+0	18
13	Metz	14	4	5	5	-1	17
14	Nantes	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	St Etienne	14	3	4	7	-8	13
16	Strasbourg	14	3	2	9	-6	11
17	Lorient	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-16	11
19	Reims	14	2	4	8	-7	10
20	Dijon	14	1	6	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Brest	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
5	Paris SG	7	4	1	2	+11	13
6	Bordeaux	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Montpellier	7	4	0	3	+0	12
8	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Angers	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	Nantes	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lorient	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Nice	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Dijon	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Reims	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Nimes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
6	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Nice	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Lille	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Metz	7	1	4	2	-1	7
11	Bordeaux	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	Strasbourg	7	2	0	5	+0	6
14	Reims	8	1	3	4	-2	6
15	Brest	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	7	1	1	5	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.