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Serie A
Referee: R Ros
Verona
U T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
36%
82%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 7. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 11 8 3 0 +14 27
2 Napoli 10 8 0 2 +18 24
3 Inter 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +9 22
5 Juventus 11 5 6 0 +11 21
6 Roma 11 6 3 2 +8 21
7 Verona 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Atalanta 11 5 3 3 +5 18
9 Lazio 12 5 3 4 -2 18
10 Udinese 11 4 2 5 -1 14
11 Cagliari 11 3 3 5 -5 12
12 Bologna 11 4 0 7 -6 12
13 Benevento 12 3 3 6 -10 12
14 Sampdoria 11 3 2 6 -3 11
15 Parma 11 2 5 4 -7 11
16 Spezia 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Torino 11 1 3 7 -8 6
19 Genoa 11 1 3 7 -12 6
20 Crotone 12 1 3 8 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Sampdoria
19′
🟨 Valerio Verre
29′
🟨 Lorenzo Tonelli
M. Lovato 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
39′
41′
A. Ekdal 0–1
Half-time 0–2
54′
V. Verre 0–2
A. Ferrari
Davide Faraoni 🟨
57′
A. Tameze 🔁
↦ Miguel Veloso
61′
E. Colley 🔁
↦ S. Di Carmine
61′
K. Rüegg 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
61′
69′
🟨 Mikkel Damsgaard
70′
🔁 G. Ramírez
↦ V. Verre
1–2 M. Zaccagni
70′
76′
🔁 M. Léris
↦ J. Jankto
Eddie Salcedo 🟨
77′
K. Günter 🔁
↦ P. Dawidowicz
88′
Antonín Barák 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Adrien Silva
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-2-1
1 M. Silvestri G
5 D. Faraoni D
17 F. Ceccherini D
3 F. Dimarco M
27 P. Dawidowicz D
4 Miguel Veloso M
8 D. Lazović M
20 M. Zaccagni F
7 A. Barák M
10 S. Di Carmine F
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (12)
6 M. Lovato
61 A. Tameze
90 E. Colley
19 K. Rüegg
21 K. Günter
14 I. Ilić
72 A. Danzi
23 G. Magnani
13 I. Udogie
15 M. Çetin
25 I. Pandur
22 A. Berardi

Coach: I. Juric

Sampdoria

4-4-1-1
1 E. Audero G
21 L. Tonelli D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
25 A. Ferrari D
5 Adrien Silva M
6 A. Ekdal M
8 V. Verre F
14 J. Jankto M
38 M. Damsgaard M
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (9)
11 G. Ramírez
26 M. Léris
19 V. Regini
22 M. Yoshida
30 N. Ravaglia
2 Kaique Rocha
34 K. Letica
27 F. Quagliarella
16 K. Askildsen

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,50
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.