Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Roma

S T S S U

3–1

Full-time

Spal

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Roma Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

53%

13%

Points per game

1,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

53%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,7

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

18 Shots 5

13 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Spal 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	12	3	1	+13	39
2	Inter	15	12	2	1	+18	38
3	Lazio	15	10	3	2	+21	33
4	Cagliari	15	8	5	2	+12	29
5	Roma	15	8	5	2	+11	29
6	Atalanta	16	8	4	4	+13	28
7	Parma	16	7	3	6	+4	24
8	Napoli	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Torino	16	6	3	7	-3	21
10	Milan	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Bologna	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Verona	16	5	4	7	-3	19
13	Sassuolo	15	4	4	7	-1	16
14	Fiorentina	15	4	4	7	-4	16
15	Lecce	16	3	6	7	-12	15
16	Sampdoria	16	4	3	9	-12	15
17	Udinese	16	4	3	9	-16	15
18	Brescia	15	4	1	10	-12	13
19	Genoa	16	2	5	9	-14	11
20	Spal	15	2	3	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+9	22
2	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Parma	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	Verona	9	3	3	3	+0	12
8	Napoli	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Bologna	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Torino	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Udinese	8	3	2	3	-4	11
12	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+4	10
13	Sassuolo	8	3	1	4	+2	10
14	Milan	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Spal	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Genoa	8	2	1	5	-3	7
19	Lecce	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Brescia	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Atalanta	9	5	3	1	+9	18
3	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Roma	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Cagliari	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Milan	8	4	0	4	+0	12
9	Lecce	9	3	2	4	-7	11
10	Napoli	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Torino	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Brescia	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Verona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Sassuolo	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Sampdoria	8	2	0	6	-8	6
18	Genoa	8	0	4	4	-11	4
19	Udinese	8	1	1	6	-12	4
20	Spal	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.