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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Sivasspor
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 57%
64%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
2,1
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Sivasspor 1. · Fenerbahce 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 14 9 3 2 +16 30
2 Besiktas 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 Trabzonspor 14 7 5 2 +12 26
4 Buyuksehyr 14 7 5 2 +8 26
5 Fenerbahce 14 7 4 3 +12 25
6 Galatasaray 15 6 6 3 +4 24
7 Alanyaspor 15 6 5 4 +10 23
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 14 5 5 4 +10 20
9 Goztep 15 5 5 5 -1 20
10 Gaziantep 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Denizlispor 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Genclerbirligi 15 4 5 6 -1 17
13 Rizespor 15 5 2 8 -11 17
14 Kasimpasa 15 4 3 8 -3 15
15 Konyaspor 14 3 5 6 -7 14
16 Antalyaspor 15 3 4 8 -13 13
17 Kayserispor 15 2 4 9 -19 10
18 Ankaragücü 15 2 4 9 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Fenerbahce
5′
🟨 Mauricio Isla
22′
🔁 M. Jørgensen
↦ S. Çiftpınar
1–0 Fernando
M. Yandaş
32′
Fatih Aksoy 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
Emre Kılınç 🟨
55′
2–0 E. Kılınç
Z. Erdal
59′
Uğur Çiftçi 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ E. Belözoğlu
71′
🔁 D. Türüç
↦ M. Kruse
E. Yeşilyurt 🔁
↦ Fernando
74′
85′
D. Türüç 2–1
O. Tufan
Mert Hakan Yandaş 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ozan Tufan
90′
🟨 Ozan Tufan
90′
🟥 Ozan Tufan
90′
🟥 Garry Rodrigues
A. Koné 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
91′
I. Cofie 🔁
↦ M. Yandaş
94′
3–1 Z. Erdal
M. Yatabaré
97′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-3-3
30 M. Samassa G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal M
3 U. Çiftçi D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
4 A. Appindangoye D
20 F. Aksoy M
54 E. Kılınç F
8 M. Yandaş M
9 M. Yatabaré F
7 Fernando F
Bench (10)
11 E. Yeşilyurt
5 I. Cofie
2 A. Koné
10 Hugo Vieira
1 M. Yıldırım
29 A. Vural
6 P. Papp
22 A. Đerlek
26 B. Yardımcı
12 Abdou Razak Traoré

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
4 M. Isla D
18 S. Çiftpınar D
5 E. Belözoğlu M
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 N. Dirar D
24 Garry Rodrigues M
7 O. Tufan M
10 M. Kruse M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
32 M. Jørgensen
16 F. Kadıoğlu
23 D. Türüç
34 A. Rami
14 T. Ciğerci
35 H. Tekin
9 M. Erdinç
25 Jaílson
28 M. Sağlam
6 T. Arslan

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
3,46
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.