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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Marseille

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Bordeaux

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

25 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 2. · Bordeaux 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	0	3	+26	39
2	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+4	31
3	Lille	17	8	4	5	+6	28
4	Rennes	16	8	3	5	+5	27
5	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+10	26
6	Nantes	17	8	2	7	-1	26
7	Lyon	17	7	4	6	+12	25
8	St Etienne	17	7	4	6	-2	25
9	Reims	16	6	6	4	+5	24
10	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+4	24
11	Monaco	16	7	3	6	+1	24
12	Angers	17	7	3	7	-3	24
13	Nice	17	7	2	8	-2	23
14	Brest	17	5	6	6	+1	21
15	Strasbourg	17	6	3	8	-3	21
16	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-8	16
17	Amiens	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Metz	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Toulouse	17	3	3	11	-16	12
20	Nimes	16	2	6	8	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Paris SG	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Angers	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Montpellier	9	6	1	2	+7	19
5	Nantes	9	6	1	2	+4	19
6	Nice	9	5	2	2	+5	17
7	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
8	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
9	Brest	9	4	4	1	+9	16
10	Monaco	8	5	1	2	+6	16
11	Rennes	8	5	1	2	+4	16
12	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+9	14
13	Reims	9	3	5	1	+4	14
14	St Etienne	8	3	4	1	+4	13
15	Dijon	8	3	3	2	+0	12
16	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+6	11
17	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Metz	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	-4	9
20	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	St Etienne	9	4	0	5	-6	12
6	Rennes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Monaco	8	2	2	4	-5	8
9	Nantes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
10	Nice	8	2	0	6	-7	6
11	Amiens	9	1	3	5	-9	6
12	Metz	9	1	3	5	-11	6
13	Montpellier	8	0	5	3	-3	5
14	Lille	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Brest	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Angers	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	Strasbourg	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Dijon	9	1	1	7	-8	4
19	Nimes	9	0	4	5	-14	4
20	Toulouse	9	0	3	6	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.