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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Werder Bremen

U U T T S

0–1

Full-time

Paderborn

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 16%

23%

Points per game

1,1

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 85%

92%

77%

Both score Ø 81%

92%

69%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 14. · Paderborn 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+14	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	9	3	2	+23	30
3	Dortmund	14	7	5	2	+14	26
4	Schalke 04	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Freiburg	14	7	4	3	+7	25
6	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Bayern Munich	14	7	3	4	+15	24
8	Hoffenheim	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Union Berlin	14	6	1	7	-1	19
11	Ein Frankfurt	14	5	3	6	+2	18
12	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-6	17
13	Mainz	14	5	0	9	-14	15
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	3	3	8	-13	12
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-18	8
18	Paderborn	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+17	17
3	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
4	Union Berlin	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+12	13
8	Leverkusen	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Mainz	6	3	0	3	+0	9
13	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Paderborn	7	1	0	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Bayern Munich	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Dortmund	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Hertha	8	1	3	4	-5	6
12	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-8	6
13	Mainz	8	2	0	6	-14	6
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	1	2	5	-9	5
15	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-13	4
17	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.