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Conference League
Referee: B Bastien
Vallecano
S U T T S
3–0
Full-time
AEK
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/14 matches
Win Ø 64%
70%
57%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,31 xG 1,11
45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vallecano AEK
1–0 I. Akhomach ⚽
A. Garcia
2′
Florian Lejeune ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
2–0 U. Lopez ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Marin
↦ P. Mantalos
P. Diaz 🔁
↦ U. Lopez
55′
Alemao 🔁
↦ I. Akhomach
56′
61′
🟨 Barnabás Varga
Pedro Díaz 🟨
65′
Pacha 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
66′
Alfonso Espino ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
71′
71′
🔁 M. Gacinovic
↦ R. Pereyra
71′
🔁 Zini
↦ B. Varga
72′
🟨 Filipe Relvas
3–0 I. Palazon ⚽
74′
O. Valentin 🔁
↦ J. de Frutos
80′
S. Camello 🔁
↦ I. Palazon
80′
87′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ A. Koita
88′
🟨 Luka Jović
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
5 Luiz Felipe D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
6 P. Ciss M
12 I. Akhomach M
7 I. Palazon M
18 A. Garcia M
19 J. de Frutos F
Bench (11)
1 D. Cardenas
30 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
15 G. Gumbau
22 Pacha
4 P. Diaz
9 Alemao
23 O. Valentin
32 N. Mendy
20 I. Balliu
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
11 A. Koita M
20 P. Mantalos M
13 O. Pineda M
37 R. Pereyra M
25 B. Varga F
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
91 A. Brignoli
81 A. Angelopoulos
19 N. Eliasson
8 M. Gacinovic
7 D. Kutesa
29 J. Penrice
21 D. Vida
18 R. Marin
90 Zini
15 M. Georgiev
17 D. Kaloskamis

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.