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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Sociedad
T T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Espanol
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
27%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
18%
59%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,67 xG 0,87
70% Possession 30%
13 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Espanol 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 5 3 +29 +24.2 50
2 Ath Madrid 23 14 7 2 +23 +19.6 49
3 Barcelona 22 14 3 5 +36 +26.5 45
4 Ath Bilbao 23 12 8 3 +16 +14.1 44
5 Villarreal 23 11 7 5 +12 +15.4 40
6 Vallecano 23 9 8 6 +3 +2.0 35
7 Girona 23 9 4 10 -2 -0.4 31
8 Osasuna 22 7 9 6 -4 -7.5 30
9 Mallorca 22 9 3 10 -9 -1.8 30
10 Betis 23 7 8 8 -4 +2.3 29
11 Sociedad 22 8 4 10 -1 +2.9 28
12 Celta 23 8 4 11 -3 +5.3 28
13 Sevilla 22 7 7 8 -6 -3.4 28
14 Getafe 23 6 9 8 +1 -4.7 27
15 Las Palmas 23 6 5 12 -10 -21.4 23
16 Espanol 22 6 5 11 -12 -17.4 23
17 Leganes 23 5 8 10 -13 -22.1 23
18 Valencia 23 5 7 11 -13 -8.6 22
19 Alaves 23 5 6 12 -10 -2.9 21
20 Valladolid 23 4 3 16 -33 -22.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Espanol
1–0 S. Becker
1′
40′
🟨 Álvaro Aguado
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Antoniu Roca
46′
🔁 A. Véliz
↦ Edu Expósito
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
51′
53′
Javi Puado 1–1
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ O. Óskarsson
62′
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Pablo Marín
62′
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
62′
70′
🔁 Álvaro Tejero
↦ Roberto Fernández
T. Kubo 🔁
↦ S. Becker
76′
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
81′
82′
🔁 Rafel Bauzà
↦ Álvaro Aguado
2–1 Brais Méndez
Jon Olasagasti
84′
87′
🔁 W. Cheddira
↦ Fernando Calero
92′
🟨 Leandro Cabrera
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
19 J. Aramburu D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
21 N. Aguerd D
12 Javi López D
24 L. Sučić M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
28 Pablo Marín M
11 S. Becker F
9 O. Óskarsson F
17 Sergio Gómez F
Bench (12)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
16 Jon Olasagasti
7 Barrenetxea
14 T. Kubo
23 Brais Méndez
22 Beñat Turrientes
33 Jon Balda
32 Aitor Fraga
20 Jon Pacheco
13 Unai Marrero
31 Jon Martín
8 A. Zakharyan

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Joan García G
23 O. El Hilali D
4 M. Kumbulla D
5 Fernando Calero D
6 L. Cabrera D
7 Javi Puado M
18 Álvaro Aguado M
20 A. Král M
31 Antoniu Roca M
8 Edu Expósito F
2 Roberto Fernández F
Bench (11)
17 Jofre Carreras
9 A. Véliz
12 Álvaro Tejero
35 Rafel Bauzà
16 W. Cheddira
10 Pol Lozano
38 Pol Tristán
11 Pere Milla
41 José Ángel
33 Ángel Fortuño
3 Sergi Gómez

Coach: Manolo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,81
B
6,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.