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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Las Palmas
U T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Valencia
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
53%
72%
Both score Ø 73%
63%
83%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 11. · Valencia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 19 14 4 1 +34 46
2 Barcelona 20 12 6 2 +34 42
3 Sevilla 20 13 3 4 +15 42
4 Ath Madrid 20 10 6 4 +18 36
5 Sociedad 20 11 2 7 +3 35
6 Villarreal 20 9 7 4 +14 34
7 Ath Bilbao 20 9 5 6 +4 32
8 Celta 20 9 3 8 -2 30
9 Espanol 20 7 8 5 +1 29
10 Eibar 20 8 5 7 -1 29
11 Las Palmas 19 6 7 6 -2 25
12 Alaves 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Betis 20 6 5 9 -10 23
14 Malaga 20 5 7 8 -6 22
15 Valencia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
16 La Coruna 20 4 7 9 -7 19
17 Leganes 20 4 6 10 -18 18
18 Sp Gijon 20 3 4 13 -19 13
19 Osasuna 20 1 7 12 -22 10
20 Granada 20 1 7 12 -28 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Valencia
21′
Santi Mina 0–1
José Gayá
27′
🟨 Nani
1–1 Jonathan Viera
K. Boateng
42′
44′
🟨 Enzo Pérez
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Mario Suárez
↦ E. Pérez
48′
🟨 Munir El Haddadi
51′
🟨 Munir El Haddadi
51′
🟥 Munir El Haddadi
2–1 M. Lemos
57′
3–1 K. Boateng
Bigas
61′
64′
🟨 Dani Parejo
Tana 🔁
↦ Vicente Gómez
65′
67′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ Nani
A. Halilović 🔁
↦ Momo
73′
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ Jonathan Viera
77′
Roque Mesa 🟨
82′
87′
🔁 Martín Montoya
↦ Carlos Soler
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-3-3
13 Javi Varas
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
3 M. Lemos D
7 K. Boateng M
11 Momo M
6 Montoro M
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
Bench (7)
24 Tana
20 A. Halilović
9 M. Livaja
1 Raúl Lizoáin
2 David Simón
19 M. García
22 Hélder Lopes

Coach: Quique Setién

Valencia

4-3-3
1 Diego Alves G
24 E. Garay D
5 E. Mangala D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
17 Nani M
8 E. Pérez M
10 Dani Parejo M
18 Carlos Soler M
22 Santi Mina F
9 Munir F
Bench (7)
7 Mario Suárez
12 S. Zaza
21 Martín Montoya
4 Aderllan Santos
13 Jaume Doménech
26 Toni Lato
34 Sito Pascual

Coach: Voro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.