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Copa del Rey

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Tenerife

S S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Las Palmas

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tenerife Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

26% Possession 74%

12 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

6 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tenerife 18. · Las Palmas 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+7	9
7	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
10	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+3	9
11	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
12	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Elche	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Ferrol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Castellon	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Lugo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Burgos	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
25	Eibar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
26	Melilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Malaga	3	1	1	1	+0	4
29	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Amorebieta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Cayón	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
62	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
63	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
64	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
65	Cartagena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
66	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
76	Linares Deportivo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
78	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Ferrol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
21	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
22	Melilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
31	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sestao River	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Linares Deportivo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Arenteiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Elche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Burgos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Cayón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
80	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
9	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+3	9
10	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
11	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
12	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
51	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
57	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.