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La Liga

Referee: Javier Iglesias Villanueva

Valencia

S T U U S

1–0

Full-time

Las Palmas

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,52

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 6. · Las Palmas 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
3	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
4	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
6	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
9	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
19	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
20	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
3	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
4	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
5	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
6	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
7	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
8	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
10	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
11	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
2	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
11	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.