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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Vallecano

T S S U U

1–5

Full-time

Villarreal

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,2

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 36%

31%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

34%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

40%

46%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 12. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	35	25	6	4	+43	81
2	Barcelona	36	21	9	6	+32	72
3	Ath Madrid	36	20	7	9	+21	67
4	Sevilla	36	17	15	4	+22	66
5	Betis	36	18	7	11	+20	61
6	Sociedad	36	16	11	9	+3	59
7	Villarreal	35	14	11	10	+21	53
8	Ath Bilbao	36	13	13	10	+6	52
9	Osasuna	36	12	11	13	-10	47
10	Valencia	36	10	14	12	-7	44
11	Celta	36	11	10	15	+1	43
12	Vallecano	35	11	9	15	-4	42
13	Espanol	36	10	10	16	-13	40
14	Elche	36	10	9	17	-13	39
15	Getafe	36	8	14	14	-6	38
16	Granada	36	8	13	15	-15	37
17	Cadiz	36	7	14	15	-17	35
18	Mallorca	36	8	9	19	-30	33
19	Alaves	36	8	7	21	-31	31
20	Levante	35	6	11	18	-23	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Ath Madrid	18	12	4	2	+17	40
3	Sevilla	18	11	6	1	+18	39
4	Barcelona	18	12	2	4	+20	38
5	Villarreal	18	10	6	2	+23	36
6	Sociedad	18	10	5	3	+8	35
7	Espanol	18	9	5	4	+6	32
8	Ath Bilbao	18	9	4	5	+9	31
9	Betis	18	9	2	7	+10	29
10	Vallecano	17	8	5	4	+10	29
11	Getafe	18	7	6	5	+6	27
12	Alaves	18	7	4	7	-3	25
13	Elche	18	6	6	6	+1	24
14	Mallorca	18	6	6	6	-6	24
15	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
16	Celta	18	6	4	8	+2	22
17	Osasuna	18	5	7	6	-7	22
18	Granada	18	5	6	7	-7	21
19	Levante	18	4	7	7	-4	19
20	Cadiz	18	3	8	7	-5	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	2	3	+18	41
2	Barcelona	18	9	7	2	+12	34
3	Betis	18	9	5	4	+10	32
4	Ath Madrid	18	8	3	7	+4	27
5	Sevilla	18	6	9	3	+4	27
6	Osasuna	18	7	4	7	-3	25
7	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	-5	24
8	Celta	18	5	6	7	-1	21
9	Ath Bilbao	18	4	9	5	-3	21
10	Valencia	18	5	6	7	-7	21
11	Cadiz	18	4	6	8	-12	18
12	Villarreal	17	4	5	8	-2	17
13	Granada	18	3	7	8	-8	16
14	Elche	18	4	3	11	-14	15
15	Vallecano	18	3	4	11	-14	13
16	Getafe	18	1	8	9	-12	11
17	Levante	17	2	4	11	-19	10
18	Mallorca	18	2	3	13	-24	9
19	Espanol	18	1	5	12	-19	8
20	Alaves	18	1	3	14	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.