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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Barcelona
S S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Granada
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 54%
69%
38%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
59%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

81% Possession 19%
16 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Granada 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 33 22 7 4 +38 73
2 Barcelona 32 22 5 5 +47 71
3 Real Madrid 33 21 8 4 +32 71
4 Sevilla 33 22 4 7 +23 70
5 Sociedad 33 14 11 8 +17 53
6 Betis 33 14 8 11 -3 50
7 Villarreal 33 12 13 8 +12 49
8 Ath Bilbao 33 10 12 11 +7 42
9 Granada 32 12 6 14 -12 42
10 Celta 33 10 11 12 -7 41
11 Osasuna 33 10 10 13 -8 40
12 Levante 33 9 11 13 -8 38
13 Cadiz 33 9 10 14 -21 37
14 Valencia 33 8 12 13 -7 36
15 Getafe 33 8 10 15 -13 34
16 Alaves 33 7 10 16 -21 31
17 Valladolid 33 5 15 13 -14 30
18 Elche 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Huesca 33 5 12 16 -19 27
20 Eibar 33 4 11 18 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Granada
20′
🟨 Roberto Soldado
1–0 L. Messi
A. Griezmann
23′
43′
🟨 Nehuén Pérez
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 M. Gonalons
↦ Y. Eteki
61′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Soldado
63′
D. Machís 1–1
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Óscar Mingueza
72′
Pedri 🔁
↦ Ilaix Kourouma
72′
76′
🔁 Adrián Marín
↦ D. Machís
79′
Jorge Molina 1–2
Adrián Marín
Trincão 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
81′
86′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ L. Suárez
89′
🟨 Germán Sánchez
90′
🟨 Adrián Marín
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

3-1-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba M
20 Sergi Roberto M
23 S. Umtiti D
28 Óscar Mingueza D
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
27 Ilaix Kourouma M
10 L. Messi F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (12)
11 O. Dembélé
16 Pedri
17 Trincão
24 Junior Firpo
12 Riqui Puig
8 M. Pjanić
15 C. Lenglet
2 S. Dest
36 Arnau Tenas
13 Neto
29 K. De La Fuente
4 R. Araújo

Coach: R. Koeman

Granada

3-4-2-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Víctor Díaz D
6 Germán Sánchez D
2 D. Foulquier M
17 Quini M
3 N. Pérez D
8 Y. Eteki M
21 Y. Herrera M
9 Soldado F
11 D. Machís F
7 L. Suárez F
Bench (9)
4 M. Gonalons
23 Jorge Molina
18 Adrián Marín
14 Fede Vico
12 Domingos Quina
42 Sergio Barcia
35 Andorinha
31 Arnau Fàbrega
26 Alberto Soro

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,15
U
8,44
B ✓
16,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,35
U2,5
3,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.