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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Barcelona

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

68%

18%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

61%

36%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

25 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Valladolid 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	29	20	6	3	+32	66
2	Real Madrid	29	19	6	4	+28	63
3	Barcelona	28	19	5	4	+43	62
4	Sevilla	29	18	4	7	+19	58
5	Villarreal	29	11	13	5	+11	46
6	Betis	29	14	4	11	-3	46
7	Sociedad	28	12	9	7	+16	45
8	Celta	29	9	10	10	-6	37
9	Granada	29	10	6	13	-15	36
10	Ath Bilbao	28	9	8	11	+6	35
11	Levante	29	8	11	10	-3	35
12	Valencia	29	8	9	12	-5	33
13	Cadiz	29	8	8	13	-19	32
14	Osasuna	29	7	10	12	-12	31
15	Getafe	29	7	9	13	-11	30
16	Valladolid	28	5	12	11	-12	27
17	Elche	29	5	11	13	-17	26
18	Huesca	29	4	12	13	-16	24
19	Eibar	29	4	11	14	-13	23
20	Alaves	29	5	8	16	-23	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+21	36
2	Sevilla	15	11	1	3	+14	34
3	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+22	31
4	Real Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
5	Granada	15	8	3	4	+1	27
6	Betis	14	8	2	4	+4	26
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
8	Villarreal	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Sociedad	14	6	5	3	+8	23
10	Valencia	14	6	5	3	+6	23
11	Levante	15	5	7	3	+2	22
12	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
13	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Osasuna	15	4	5	6	-6	17
15	Elche	14	3	7	4	-5	16
16	Cadiz	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-7	14
18	Alaves	15	3	5	7	-8	14
19	Huesca	14	2	6	6	-6	12
20	Eibar	14	1	6	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Barcelona	14	10	1	3	+21	31
3	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+11	30
4	Sevilla	14	7	3	4	+5	24
5	Sociedad	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	Villarreal	15	5	7	3	+6	22
7	Betis	15	6	2	7	-7	20
8	Celta	15	3	7	5	-4	16
9	Cadiz	14	4	4	6	-10	16
10	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
11	Osasuna	14	3	5	6	-6	14
12	Levante	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Valladolid	14	2	7	5	-5	13
14	Huesca	15	2	6	7	-10	12
15	Ath Bilbao	14	2	5	7	-4	11
16	Valencia	15	2	4	9	-11	10
17	Elche	15	2	4	9	-12	10
18	Getafe	14	2	4	8	-14	10
19	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-15	9
20	Granada	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.